A Escola das Odds

Sao Paulo v Palmeiras

Início: 2026-03-22 00:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sao Paulo (Local)

Previsão 35.43%2.82odd justa
EV +0.986%
Vantagem +0.346%
Kelly +0.533%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.29%35.42%35.40%36.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.622.622.8542.55%38.19%38.17%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palmeiras (Visitante)

Previsão 33.18%3.01odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.601%
Kelly -0.908%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.05%33.32%33.19%35.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.792.802.9640.00%35.81%35.71%33.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.38%3.19odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -0.668%
Kelly -0.983%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.09%31.26%31.41%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.952.953.1238.46%33.94%33.90%32.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV +0.986%E +0.346%K +0.533%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.91%EV -3.65%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:58
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV +0.277%E +0.098%K +0.152%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.48%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -2.56%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 00:00
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -2.56%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 23:59
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -2.56%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.42%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%EV -1.78%E -0.601%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:59
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.49%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.74%EV -10.07%E -3.72%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 00:00
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.39%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.97%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:54
BetUS2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.39%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.97%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:59
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -8.67%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:58
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -6.81%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -6.81%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 00:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.36%E -2.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.36%E -2.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:59
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -4.77%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 00:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:59
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -4.77%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 00:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.17%EV -2.08%E -0.668%K -0.983%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:59
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 00:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 23:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 23:59
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 00:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 23:59
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -12.13%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.70%E -4.98%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -17.04%E -6.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.22%EV -17.46%E -6.64%K -10.71%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -12.48%E -5.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -9.74%E -3.58%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 23:56
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.19%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.72%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -14.96%E -6.23%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.39I 41.84%NM 36.71%EV -15.31%E -6.41%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 00:00
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.39%EV -16.73%E -7.12%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.62%EV -15.38%E -6.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.99%EV -18.40%E -7.08%K -11.50%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-03-21 23:59
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-22 00:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.16%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-03-22 00:00