Die Schule der Quoten

Sao Paulo v Palmeiras

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-22 00:02 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sao Paulo (Heim)

Prognose 35.43%2.82faire Quote
EV +0.986%
Vorteil +0.346%
Kelly +0.533%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.29%35.42%35.40%36.71%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.352.622.622.8542.55%38.19%38.17%35.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Palmeiras (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.18%3.01faire Quote
EV -1.78%
Vorteil -0.601%
Kelly -0.908%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.96

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.05%33.32%33.19%35.80%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.502.792.802.9640.00%35.81%35.71%33.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 31.38%3.19faire Quote
EV -2.08%
Vorteil -0.668%
Kelly -0.983%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.09%31.26%31.41%32.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.602.952.953.1238.46%33.94%33.90%32.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV +0.986%E +0.346%K +0.533%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.91%EV -3.65%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:58
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV +0.277%E +0.098%K +0.152%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.48%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -2.56%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 00:00
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -2.56%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 23:59
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -2.56%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.42%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%EV -1.78%E -0.601%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:59
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.49%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.74%EV -10.07%E -3.72%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 00:00
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.39%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.97%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:54
BetUS2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.39%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.97%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:59
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -8.67%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:58
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -6.81%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -6.81%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 00:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.36%E -2.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.36%E -2.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:59
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -4.77%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 00:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:59
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -4.77%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 00:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.17%EV -2.08%E -0.668%K -0.983%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:59
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 00:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 23:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 23:59
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 00:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 23:59
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -12.13%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.70%E -4.98%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -17.04%E -6.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.22%EV -17.46%E -6.64%K -10.71%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -12.48%E -5.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -9.74%E -3.58%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 23:56
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.19%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.72%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -14.96%E -6.23%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.39I 41.84%NM 36.71%EV -15.31%E -6.41%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 00:00
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.39%EV -16.73%E -7.12%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.62%EV -15.38%E -6.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.99%EV -18.40%E -7.08%K -11.50%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-03-21 23:59
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-22 00:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.16%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-03-22 00:00