مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sao Paulo v Palmeiras

البداية: 2026-03-22 00:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sao Paulo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.43%2.82السعر العادل
EV +0.986%
الأفضلية +0.346%
Kelly +0.533%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.29%35.42%35.40%36.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.622.622.8542.55%38.19%38.17%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Palmeiras (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.18%3.01السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -0.601%
Kelly -0.908%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.05%33.32%33.19%35.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.792.802.9640.00%35.81%35.71%33.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.38%3.19السعر العادل
EV -2.08%
الأفضلية -0.668%
Kelly -0.983%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.09%31.26%31.41%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.952.953.1238.46%33.94%33.90%32.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV +0.986%E +0.346%K +0.533%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80%EV -12.07%E -4.55%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.91%EV -3.65%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:58
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV +0.277%E +0.098%K +0.152%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV -6.09%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.48%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -2.56%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 00:00
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -2.56%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 23:59
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -2.56%E -0.930%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.42%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%EV -1.78%E -0.601%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -4.91%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:59
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.49%EV -3.27%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.74%EV -10.07%E -3.72%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -3.97%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 00:00
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.74%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.97%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.33%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.39%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.97%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:54
BetUS2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.39%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.97%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:59
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.77%E -1.30%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -8.67%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:58
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -6.81%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 00:00
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -6.81%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 00:00
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.36%E -2.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 23:59
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -4.43%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -8.36%E -2.86%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 00:00
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:59
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -4.77%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 00:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:59
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 00:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -4.77%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 00:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.17%EV -2.08%E -0.668%K -0.983%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:59
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -5.43%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 00:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 23:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -2.71%E -0.875%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 23:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 23:59
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.64%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 00:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 23:59
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -7.09%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -12.13%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 00:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -8.75%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.70%E -4.98%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -11.42%E -4.57%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -17.04%E -6.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.22%EV -17.46%E -6.64%K -10.71%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Betclic (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -12.48%E -5.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.83%EV -9.74%E -3.58%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.01%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 23:56
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.19%E -5.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.72%E -5.28%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -14.96%E -6.23%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.39I 41.84%NM 36.71%EV -15.31%E -6.41%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -10.41%E -3.85%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 00:00
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.39%EV -16.73%E -7.12%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.62%EV -15.38%E -6.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.99%EV -18.40%E -7.08%K -11.50%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-21 23:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-03-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-03-21 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-03-21 23:59
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-22 00:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.0%2026-03-22 00:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.16%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-03-22 00:00