Language:English
Sao Paulo v Bahia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sao Paulo (Local)
Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.43%46.66%46.70%47.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.992.002.0652.91%50.29%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bahia (Visit)
Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.519%
Kelly +0.692%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%25.49%25.47%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.663.654.0030.77%27.33%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.82%3.59fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.669%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.46%27.85%27.83%29.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.353.5134.72%29.97%29.85%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sao Paulo (Local): 46.66%; Bahia (Visit): 25.52%; Draw: 27.82%. For Bahia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +2.08%E +0.519%K +0.692%G +0.014% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -7.35%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +2.08%E +0.519%K +0.692%G +0.014% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -7.35%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 10:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.97%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV +0.801%E +0.203%K +0.271%G +0.002% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -0.475%E -0.122%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.80%EV -2.90%E -0.832%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.48%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -0.475%E -0.122%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.48%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -0.475%E -0.122%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.85%EV -7.15%E -3.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -2.01%E -0.522%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.87%EV -10.14%E -3.14%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -2.35%E -0.669%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -7.61%E -3.85%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 10:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 10:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -9.48%E -4.89%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -9.95%E -5.15%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.61%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.60%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.08%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -11.81%E -6.25%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -11.81%E -6.25%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.76%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -11.53%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.10%EV -11.81%E -6.25%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.55%E -4.36%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 18:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.35%E -5.97%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -14.51%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 10:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -17.06%E -5.25%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -19.87%E -6.90%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |