赔率学院

Sao Paulo v Bahia

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Sao Paulo 2–2 Bahia

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Sao Paulo (主队)

预测 46.66%2.14公平赔率
EV -3.88%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -3.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
44.43%46.66%46.70%47.70%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.891.992.002.0652.91%50.29%50.00%48.54%MIN均值中位数MAX

Bahia (客队)

预测 25.52%3.92公平赔率
EV +2.08%
优势 +0.519%
Kelly +0.692%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.80%25.49%25.47%27.24%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.253.663.654.0030.77%27.33%27.40%25.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 27.82%3.59公平赔率
EV -2.35%
优势 -0.669%
Kelly -0.935%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.51

博彩公司预测分布
26.46%27.85%27.83%29.46%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.343.353.5134.72%29.97%29.85%28.49%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +2.08%E +0.519%K +0.692%G +0.014%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -7.35%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 11:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +2.08%E +0.519%K +0.692%G +0.014%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -7.35%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 10:58
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.97%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV +0.801%E +0.203%K +0.271%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 11:10
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -0.475%E -0.122%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.80%EV -2.90%E -0.832%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.48%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -0.475%E -0.122%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 18:51
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.48%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -0.475%E -0.122%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 18:51
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 46.85%EV -7.15%E -3.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -2.01%E -0.522%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.87%EV -10.14%E -3.14%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:25
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -2.35%E -0.669%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -7.61%E -3.85%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:55
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:51
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:51
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:39
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:24
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:24
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -9.48%E -4.89%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 18:51
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:51
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -9.95%E -5.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.61%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.60%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.08%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:55
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:55
BetAnything2.01I 49.75%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:55
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:35
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 18:51
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -11.81%E -6.25%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:51
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -11.81%E -6.25%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:46
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:46
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:46
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:15
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:31
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 18:39
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:25
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.76%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -11.53%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.10%EV -11.81%E -6.25%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:55
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.55%E -4.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 10:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 18:40
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:55
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 18:29
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.35%E -5.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -14.51%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -17.06%E -5.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -19.87%E -6.90%K -10.57%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-03 18:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.0%2026-05-03 18:56
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-05-03 18:20