مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sao Paulo v Bahia

البداية: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sao Paulo 2–2 Bahia

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sao Paulo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.66%2.14السعر العادل
EV -3.88%
الأفضلية -1.88%
Kelly -3.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.43%46.66%46.70%47.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.891.992.002.0652.91%50.29%50.00%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Bahia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.52%3.92السعر العادل
EV +2.08%
الأفضلية +0.519%
Kelly +0.692%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.80%25.49%25.47%27.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.663.654.0030.77%27.33%27.40%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.82%3.59السعر العادل
EV -2.35%
الأفضلية -0.669%
Kelly -0.935%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.46%27.85%27.83%29.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.343.353.5134.72%29.97%29.85%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +2.08%E +0.519%K +0.692%G +0.014%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -7.35%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 11:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +2.08%E +0.519%K +0.692%G +0.014%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -7.35%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 10:58
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.97%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV +0.801%E +0.203%K +0.271%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 11:10
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -0.475%E -0.122%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.80%EV -2.90%E -0.832%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.48%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -0.475%E -0.122%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 18:51
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.48%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -0.475%E -0.122%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 18:51
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 46.85%EV -7.15%E -3.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -2.01%E -0.522%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.87%EV -10.14%E -3.14%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:25
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -3.88%E -1.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.57%EV -2.35%E -0.669%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -7.61%E -3.85%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:55
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:51
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:51
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.03%E -0.797%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:39
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:24
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:24
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -9.48%E -4.89%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 18:51
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:51
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -9.95%E -5.15%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.61%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.60%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.08%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:55
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:55
BetAnything2.01I 49.75%NM 46.69%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:55
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:35
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 18:51
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -11.81%E -6.25%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:51
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -11.81%E -6.25%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.58%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:46
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:46
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:46
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:15
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:31
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:30
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 18:39
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:25
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.76%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -11.53%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.10%EV -11.81%E -6.25%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:55
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.55%E -4.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 10:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.75%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 18:40
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -4.02%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -2.63%E -0.750%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:55
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 18:29
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.19%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.28%EV -11.35%E -5.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -14.51%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -10.97%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -17.06%E -5.25%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -19.87%E -6.90%K -10.57%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-03 18:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.0%2026-05-03 18:56
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-05-03 18:20