Language:English
Palmeiras v Cruzeiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palmeiras (Local)
Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.58%48.56%48.34%51.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.891.911.9957.14%52.84%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruzeiro (Visit)
Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV +4.93%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.23%23.15%23.48%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.094.004.5027.78%24.47%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV +1.82%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.699%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%28.28%28.18%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.303.6034.72%30.22%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palmeiras (Local): 48.40%; Cruzeiro (Visit): 23.32%; Draw: 28.28%. For Cruzeiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV +4.93%E +1.10%K +1.41%G +0.070% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +1.82%E +0.505%K +0.699%G +0.013% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV +4.93%E +1.10%K +1.41%G +0.070% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +1.82%E +0.505%K +0.699%G +0.013% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 23:36 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -13.37%E -7.47%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV +1.44%E +0.330%K +0.429%G +0.006% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV +0.971%E +0.224%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +0.271%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 23:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -13.85%E -7.78%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV +0.271%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.82%E -8.42%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.82%E -8.42%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -15.30%E -8.74%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -15.30%E -8.74%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.88%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.82%EV -1.13%E -0.266%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -3.27%E -0.957%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.77%EV -3.69%E -1.85%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.94%EV -1.36%E -0.322%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.29%EV -2.99%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.49%E -5.08%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 23:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.60%EV -2.99%E -0.720%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.40%EV -2.99%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 23:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.56%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -6.10%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 23:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 23:31 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 23:36 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.46%E -5.66%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 23:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 23:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 23:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -11.43%E -6.25%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.34%EV -10.46%E -5.66%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.12%EV -10.06%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 23:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 23:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.38%EV -12.88%E -7.16%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -13.72%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.09%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.94%EV -10.95%E -5.95%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 23:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.43%E -6.25%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.55%E -6.44%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-16 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |