赔率学院

Palmeiras v Cruzeiro

开赛时间: 2026-05-17 00:00 UTC

最终结果: Palmeiras 1–1 Cruzeiro

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Palmeiras (主队)

预测 48.40%2.07公平赔率
EV -3.69%
优势 -1.85%
Kelly -3.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.99

博彩公司预测分布
46.58%48.56%48.34%51.70%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.751.891.911.9957.14%52.84%52.36%50.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

Cruzeiro (客队)

预测 23.32%4.29公平赔率
EV +4.93%
优势 +1.10%
Kelly +1.41%
增长率 +0.070%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
21.23%23.15%23.48%24.60%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.604.094.004.5027.78%24.47%25.00%22.22%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.28%3.54公平赔率
EV +1.82%
优势 +0.505%
Kelly +0.699%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.92%28.28%28.18%29.64%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.313.303.6034.72%30.22%30.30%27.78%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV +4.93%E +1.10%K +1.41%G +0.070%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +1.82%E +0.505%K +0.699%G +0.013%3.2%2026-05-16 23:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV +4.93%E +1.10%K +1.41%G +0.070%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +1.82%E +0.505%K +0.699%G +0.013%3.2%2026-05-16 23:55
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 23:40
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:36
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -13.37%E -7.47%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV +1.44%E +0.330%K +0.429%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 23:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV +0.971%E +0.224%K +0.292%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 23:55
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +0.271%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 23:54
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -13.85%E -7.78%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV +0.271%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 23:55
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.82%E -8.42%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 23:55
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.82%E -8.42%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 23:55
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -15.30%E -8.74%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -15.30%E -8.74%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 23:55
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.88%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.82%EV -1.13%E -0.266%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -3.27%E -0.957%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 23:55
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.77%EV -3.69%E -1.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.94%EV -1.36%E -0.322%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.29%EV -2.99%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 23:50
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.49%E -5.08%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 23:31
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.60%EV -2.99%E -0.720%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.40%EV -2.99%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 23:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 23:31
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 23:30
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:39
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:40
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.56%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -6.10%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 23:45
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.405%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:35
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:31
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 23:36
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:31
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 23:30
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.46%E -5.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 23:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:31
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:30
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 23:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 23:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 23:35
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 23:31
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 23:31
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 23:31
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -11.43%E -6.25%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 23:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 23:30
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.34%EV -10.46%E -5.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.12%EV -10.06%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 23:35
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 23:31
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 23:35
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 23:36
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.38%EV -12.88%E -7.16%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -13.72%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.09%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.94%EV -10.95%E -5.95%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 23:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.43%E -6.25%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.55%E -6.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-16 23:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-16 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 23:50
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-05-16 23:50
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-05-16 23:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-16 23:35