Школа коэффициентов

Palmeiras v Cruzeiro

Начало: 2026-05-17 00:00 UTC

Итог: Palmeiras 1–1 Cruzeiro

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Palmeiras (Хозяева)

Прогноз 48.40%2.07справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.69%
Преимущество -1.85%
Kelly -3.72%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.99

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.58%48.56%48.34%51.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.751.891.911.9957.14%52.84%52.36%50.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Cruzeiro (Гости)

Прогноз 23.32%4.29справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.93%
Преимущество +1.10%
Kelly +1.41%
Рост +0.070%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.23%23.15%23.48%24.60%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.094.004.5027.78%24.47%25.00%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.28%3.54справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.82%
Преимущество +0.505%
Kelly +0.699%
Рост +0.013%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.92%28.28%28.18%29.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.313.303.6034.72%30.22%30.30%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV +4.93%E +1.10%K +1.41%G +0.070%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +1.82%E +0.505%K +0.699%G +0.013%3.2%2026-05-16 23:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV +4.93%E +1.10%K +1.41%G +0.070%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +1.82%E +0.505%K +0.699%G +0.013%3.2%2026-05-16 23:55
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 23:40
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:36
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -11.91%E -6.55%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.60%E +0.592%K +0.766%G +0.020%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.43%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.60%EV -13.37%E -7.47%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV +1.44%E +0.330%K +0.429%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 23:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV +0.971%E +0.224%K +0.292%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 23:55
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV +0.271%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 23:54
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -13.85%E -7.78%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV +0.271%E +0.063%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 23:55
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.82%E -8.42%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 23:55
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -14.82%E -8.42%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 23:55
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -15.30%E -8.74%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -15.30%E -8.74%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -0.895%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 23:55
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.88%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.82%EV -1.13%E -0.266%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -3.27%E -0.957%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 23:55
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.77%EV -3.69%E -1.85%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.94%EV -1.36%E -0.322%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.29%EV -2.99%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 23:50
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.49%E -5.08%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.06%E -0.491%K -0.644%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 23:31
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.60%EV -2.99%E -0.720%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.40%EV -2.99%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 23:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 23:31
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 23:30
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:39
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:40
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.56%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -6.10%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 23:45
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.405%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 23:35
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 23:31
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 23:36
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -6.59%E -3.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:31
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 23:30
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.46%E -5.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 23:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:31
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:30
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 49.02%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.89%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 23:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 23:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 23:35
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 23:31
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 23:31
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 23:31
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -11.43%E -6.25%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -9.06%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 23:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 23:30
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.34%EV -10.46%E -5.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.12%EV -10.06%E -3.16%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 23:35
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 23:31
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 23:35
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -9.01%E -4.79%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 23:36
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.38%EV -12.88%E -7.16%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -13.72%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.09%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.94%EV -10.95%E -5.95%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 23:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.43%E -6.25%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.55%E -6.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-16 23:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.18%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-16 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 23:50
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-05-16 23:50
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-05-16 23:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-16 23:35