A Escola das Odds

Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense

Início: 2026-04-19 21:30 UTC

Final: Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico Paranaense

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Palmeiras (Local)

Previsão 59.80%1.67odd justa
EV -3.72%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -6.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.42%59.83%59.71%61.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.551.551.6168.03%64.61%64.52%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)

Previsão 15.37%6.51odd justa
EV +8.22%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescimento +0.112%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.74%15.36%15.48%16.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.306.086.057.0418.87%16.45%16.53%14.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.83%4.03odd justa
EV +1.79%
Vantagem +0.437%
Kelly +0.578%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.57%24.82%24.82%26.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.773.794.1031.25%26.50%26.35%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.86%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.74%EV +8.22%E +1.17%K +1.36%G +0.112%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.40%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 21:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +1.79%E +0.437%K +0.578%G +0.010%3.5%2026-04-19 20:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +1.79%E +0.437%K +0.578%G +0.010%3.5%2026-04-19 20:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 21:05
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 21:23
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 21:05
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV -0.389%E -0.060%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.99%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 21:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.52%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV -1.62%E -0.253%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -7.64%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 16:20
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 21:25
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 21:25
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:51
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.08%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 20:45
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 21:10
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.22%EV -4.54%E -0.731%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.94%EV -5.90%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:05
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.25%EV -4.69%E -0.757%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.39%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -4.69%E -0.757%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 20:30
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.62%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 21:20
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 20:45
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 20:45
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 20:45
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 21:10
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 21:14
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 21:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 21:15
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.64%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 21:10
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 13:20
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 21:20
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 21:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 21:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 21:20
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -12.09%E -8.23%K -25.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -12.09%E -8.23%K -25.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 20:50
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.30%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 21:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.30%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 21:05
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 13:10
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.56%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 21:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 13:10
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -13.10%E -3.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 21:18
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.89%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.66%EV -12.38%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.83%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -13.92%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 21:15
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -15.45%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.42%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.66%EV -15.45%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -20.55%E -6.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 20:58
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.00%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%EV -18.53%E -3.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 21:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-19 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-19 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-19 21:25
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-04-19 21:25
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-19 21:25
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-04-19 21:25