L’École des cotesFrançais
Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Palmeiras (Local)
Prévision 59.80%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -6.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.42%59.83%59.71%61.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.551.551.6168.03%64.61%64.52%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.37%6.51cote équitable
EV +8.22%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.112%
avec la cote maximale 7.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.74%15.36%15.48%16.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.306.086.057.0418.87%16.45%16.53%14.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.83%4.03cote équitable
EV +1.79%
Avantage +0.437%
Kelly +0.578%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.82%24.82%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.773.794.1031.25%26.50%26.35%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.86%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.04I 14.20%NM 13.74%EV +8.22%E +1.17%K +1.36%G +0.112% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.40%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +1.79%E +0.437%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +1.79%E +0.437%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 21:23 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV -0.389%E -0.060%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.99%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.52%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV -1.62%E -0.253%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -7.64%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.08%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 20:45 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 21:10 |
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.22%EV -4.54%E -0.731%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.94%EV -5.90%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.25%EV -4.69%E -0.757%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.39%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -4.69%E -0.757%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 20:30 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.62%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 20:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 20:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 21:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.64%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 13:20 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -12.09%E -8.23%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -12.09%E -8.23%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.30%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 21:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.30%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.56%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -13.10%E -3.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 21:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.89%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.66%EV -12.38%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.83%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -13.92%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 21:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -15.45%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.42%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.66%EV -15.45%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -20.55%E -6.42%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-19 20:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.00%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%EV -18.53%E -3.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 21:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |