La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palmeiras (Local)
Predicción 59.80%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -6.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.42%59.83%59.71%61.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.551.551.6168.03%64.61%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)
Predicción 15.37%6.51momio equitativo
EV +8.22%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.112%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.74%15.36%15.48%16.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.086.057.0418.87%16.45%16.53%14.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.83%4.03momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.437%
Kelly +0.578%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%24.82%24.82%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.773.794.1031.25%26.50%26.35%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.86%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.04I 14.20%NM 13.74%EV +8.22%E +1.17%K +1.36%G +0.112% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.40%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +1.79%E +0.437%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +1.79%E +0.437%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 21:23 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV -0.389%E -0.060%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.99%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.52%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV -1.62%E -0.253%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -7.64%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.08%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 20:45 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 21:10 |
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.22%EV -4.54%E -0.731%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.94%EV -5.90%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.25%EV -4.69%E -0.757%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.39%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -4.69%E -0.757%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 20:30 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.62%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 20:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 20:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 21:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.64%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 13:20 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -12.09%E -8.23%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -12.09%E -8.23%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.30%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 21:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.30%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.56%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -13.10%E -3.74%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 21:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.89%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.66%EV -12.38%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.83%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -13.92%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 21:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -15.45%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.42%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.66%EV -15.45%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -20.55%E -6.42%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-19 20:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.00%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%EV -18.53%E -3.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 21:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |