مدرسة الاحتمالات

Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense

البداية: 2026-04-19 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico Paranaense

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Palmeiras (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.80%1.67السعر العادل
EV -3.72%
الأفضلية -2.31%
Kelly -6.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.42%59.83%59.71%61.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.551.551.6168.03%64.61%64.52%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atletico Paranaense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.37%6.51السعر العادل
EV +8.22%
الأفضلية +1.17%
Kelly +1.36%
النمو +0.112%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.74%15.36%15.48%16.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.306.086.057.0418.87%16.45%16.53%14.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.83%4.03السعر العادل
EV +1.79%
الأفضلية +0.437%
Kelly +0.578%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.57%24.82%24.82%26.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.773.794.1031.25%26.50%26.35%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.86%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.04I 14.20%NM 13.74%EV +8.22%E +1.17%K +1.36%G +0.112%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.40%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 21:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +1.79%E +0.437%K +0.578%G +0.010%3.5%2026-04-19 20:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.56%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +1.79%E +0.437%K +0.578%G +0.010%3.5%2026-04-19 20:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 21:05
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 21:23
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -0.081%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 21:05
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV -0.389%E -0.060%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.99%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 21:20
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.52%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV -1.62%E -0.253%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -7.64%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 16:20
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 21:25
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.551%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 21:25
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:51
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.91%E -5.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -1.93%E -0.489%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 20:50
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.08%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 20:45
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.92%E -0.628%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 21:10
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.22%EV -4.54%E -0.731%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.94%EV -5.90%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:05
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.25%EV -4.69%E -0.757%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.39%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -4.69%E -0.757%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 20:30
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.62%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.44%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.17%EV -9.70%E -6.42%K -19.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 21:20
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.14%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 20:45
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 20:45
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.11%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -6.23%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 20:45
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 21:10
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 21:14
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 21:20
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 21:15
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.64%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 21:10
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 13:20
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 21:20
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 21:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 21:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 21:20
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -12.09%E -8.23%K -25.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.09%EV -12.09%E -8.23%K -25.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -7.77%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 20:50
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.30%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 21:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.30%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 21:05
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 13:10
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.56%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 21:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 13:10
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.51%E -5.56%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -13.10%E -3.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.61%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 21:18
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.89%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.66%EV -12.38%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 21:15
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.83%EV -9.10%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -13.92%E -2.49%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 21:15
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -15.45%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.42%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.66%EV -15.45%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -20.55%E -6.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 20:58
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.00%EV -10.90%E -7.31%K -22.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%EV -18.53%E -3.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 21:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-19 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-19 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-19 21:25
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-04-19 21:25
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-19 21:25
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%1.3%2026-04-19 21:25