Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.19
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirassol (Local): 43.95%; Bragantino-SP (Visit): 27.58%; Draw: 28.48%. For Bragantino-SP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +2.03%E +0.548%K +0.751%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +2.03%E +0.548%K +0.751%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +0.649%E +0.178%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.90%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV +0.649%E +0.178%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.02%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.03%E -4.36%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -3.76%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -1.28%E -0.358%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -4.31%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV -1.83%E -0.515%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.01%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -9.03%E -4.36%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -2.11%E -0.594%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 08:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -9.47%E -4.60%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -10.35%E -5.07%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -10.35%E -5.07%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -11.23%E -5.56%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -11.23%E -5.56%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -5.69%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -4.63%E -2.14%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -4.63%E -2.14%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 22:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 22:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.78%EV -11.21%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.58%EV -10.86%E -3.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 22:32 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -12.11%E -6.05%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -14.52%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -17.98%E -6.24%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.11%E -6.05%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -15.90%E -5.21%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 22:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |