L’École des cotes

Mirassol v Bragantino-SP

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Prévision 43.95%2.28cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.74%44.09%43.90%45.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.1950.00%47.50%47.62%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bragantino-SP (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.58%3.63cote équitable
EV +2.03%
Avantage +0.548%
Kelly +0.751%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.00%27.50%27.60%28.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.423.413.7032.79%29.22%29.33%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.48%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -0.934%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%28.41%28.50%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.80%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +2.03%E +0.548%K +0.751%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 22:54
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +2.03%E +0.548%K +0.751%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 22:54
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +0.649%E +0.178%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 22:55
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.90%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV +0.649%E +0.178%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.02%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:24
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:54
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:54
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:54
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.03%E -4.36%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 22:30
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -3.76%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -1.28%E -0.358%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -4.31%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 22:50
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV -1.83%E -0.515%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.01%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -9.03%E -4.36%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -2.11%E -0.594%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:55
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 08:50
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 08:49
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 08:50
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 08:50
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 22:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 22:40
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -9.47%E -4.60%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 22:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 22:35
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -10.35%E -5.07%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 22:55
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -10.35%E -5.07%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 22:54
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -11.23%E -5.56%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 22:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -11.23%E -5.56%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 22:55
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -5.69%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 22:35
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -4.63%E -2.14%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 22:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:09
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:39
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -4.63%E -2.14%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 22:38
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:30
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:45
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 22:34
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 22:34
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 22:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 22:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 22:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:29
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 22:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 22:34
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.78%EV -11.21%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.58%EV -10.86%E -3.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 22:32
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -12.11%E -6.05%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -14.52%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -17.98%E -6.24%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-05 22:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.11%E -6.05%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -15.90%E -5.21%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 22:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-04-05 22:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-04-05 22:35