مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mirassol v Bragantino-SP

البداية: 2026-04-05 23:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mirassol (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.95%2.28السعر العادل
EV -3.76%
الأفضلية -1.72%
Kelly -3.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.74%44.09%43.90%45.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.112.102.1950.00%47.50%47.62%45.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Bragantino-SP (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.58%3.63السعر العادل
EV +2.03%
الأفضلية +0.548%
Kelly +0.751%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.00%27.50%27.60%28.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.423.413.7032.79%29.22%29.33%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.48%3.51السعر العادل
EV -3.18%
الأفضلية -0.934%
Kelly -1.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.11%28.41%28.50%29.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.80%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +2.03%E +0.548%K +0.751%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 22:54
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV +2.03%E +0.548%K +0.751%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 22:54
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -4.20%E -1.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +0.649%E +0.178%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 22:55
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.90%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV +0.649%E +0.178%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.02%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:24
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:54
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:54
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:54
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -9.03%E -4.36%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -0.730%E -0.203%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 22:30
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -3.76%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -1.28%E -0.358%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.80%EV -4.31%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 22:50
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV -1.83%E -0.515%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.01%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -9.03%E -4.36%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -2.11%E -0.594%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:55
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 08:50
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 08:49
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 08:50
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.95%E -2.78%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.27%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 08:50
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 22:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 22:09
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 22:40
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -9.47%E -4.60%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 22:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 22:35
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -10.35%E -5.07%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 22:55
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -10.35%E -5.07%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 22:54
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -11.23%E -5.56%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 22:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -11.23%E -5.56%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 22:55
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -5.69%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 22:35
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -4.63%E -2.14%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 22:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:09
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:39
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -4.63%E -2.14%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 22:38
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:30
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:45
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 22:34
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 22:34
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.83%E -3.22%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 22:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 22:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 22:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 22:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:29
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 22:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 22:34
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -9.91%E -4.83%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.78%EV -11.21%E -3.48%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.58%EV -10.86%E -3.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 22:32
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.71%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -12.11%E -6.05%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -14.52%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -17.98%E -6.24%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-05 22:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.11%E -6.05%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -15.90%E -5.21%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 22:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-04-05 22:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-04-05 22:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-04-05 22:35