A Escola das Odds

Internacional v Vasco da Gama

Início: 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

Final: Internacional 4–1 Vasco da Gama

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Internacional (Local)

Previsão 48.79%2.05odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.712%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.09%48.77%48.83%49.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.791.911.912.0255.87%52.32%52.36%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vasco da Gama (Visitante)

Previsão 22.92%4.36odd justa
EV +1.55%
Vantagem +0.350%
Kelly +0.451%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.42%22.89%22.88%24.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.704.044.004.4327.03%24.78%25.00%22.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.28%3.54odd justa
EV -2.42%
Vantagem -0.701%
Kelly -0.987%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.54%28.35%28.29%29.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.273.303.4534.72%30.55%30.30%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.91%EV +1.55%E +0.350%K +0.451%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 21:25
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.38%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.15%EV +0.173%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 21:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -0.744%E -0.172%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:16
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:01
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:00
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:01
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -1.43%E -0.333%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 21:16
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.43%E -0.333%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:15
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:51
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:25
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:22
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:21
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 20:40
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -4.87%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 21:10
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.44%E -0.712%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.42%E -0.701%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:10
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.44%E -0.712%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.42%E -0.701%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:10
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 21:00
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.03%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.60%EV -7.16%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.36%EV -4.68%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 19:05
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 20:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 20:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 20:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 20:50
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 21:15
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:40
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:40
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 21:14
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -9.25%E -4.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 07:29
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.27%E -4.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 21:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.27%E -4.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -12.66%E -7.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.73%E -4.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.76%E -4.68%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.76%E -4.68%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -18.54%E -6.44%K -9.86%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -11.20%E -6.15%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -15.19%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-16 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:16
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-16 21:20