L’École des cotes

Internacional v Vasco da Gama

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

Score final : Internacional 4–1 Vasco da Gama

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Internacional (Local)

Prévision 48.79%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.712%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.09%48.77%48.83%49.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.911.912.0255.87%52.32%52.36%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vasco da Gama (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.92%4.36cote équitable
EV +1.55%
Avantage +0.350%
Kelly +0.451%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.42%22.89%22.88%24.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.044.004.4327.03%24.78%25.00%22.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.28%3.54cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.701%
Kelly -0.987%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.54%28.35%28.29%29.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.303.4534.72%30.55%30.30%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.91%EV +1.55%E +0.350%K +0.451%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 21:25
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.38%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.15%EV +0.173%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 21:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -0.744%E -0.172%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:16
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:01
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:00
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:01
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -1.43%E -0.333%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 21:16
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.43%E -0.333%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:15
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:51
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:25
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:22
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:21
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 20:40
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -4.87%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 21:10
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.44%E -0.712%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.42%E -0.701%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:10
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.44%E -0.712%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.42%E -0.701%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:10
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 21:00
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.03%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.60%EV -7.16%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.36%EV -4.68%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 19:05
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 20:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 20:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 20:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 20:50
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 21:15
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:40
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:40
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 21:14
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -9.25%E -4.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 07:29
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.27%E -4.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 21:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.27%E -4.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -12.66%E -7.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.73%E -4.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.76%E -4.68%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.76%E -4.68%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -18.54%E -6.44%K -9.86%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -11.20%E -6.15%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -15.19%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-16 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:16
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-16 21:20