La escuela de los momios

Internacional v Vasco da Gama

Inicio: 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

Final: Internacional 4–1 Vasco da Gama

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Internacional (Local)

Predicción 48.79%2.05momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.712%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.09%48.77%48.83%49.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.911.912.0255.87%52.32%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vasco da Gama (Visitante)

Predicción 22.92%4.36momio equitativo
EV +1.55%
Ventaja +0.350%
Kelly +0.451%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.42%22.89%22.88%24.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.044.004.4327.03%24.78%25.00%22.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.28%3.54momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.701%
Kelly -0.987%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%28.35%28.29%29.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.303.4534.72%30.55%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.91%EV +1.55%E +0.350%K +0.451%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 21:25
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.38%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.15%EV +0.173%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 21:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -0.744%E -0.172%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:16
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:01
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:00
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:01
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -1.43%E -0.333%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 21:16
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.43%E -0.333%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:15
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:51
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:25
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:22
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:21
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 20:40
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -4.87%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 21:10
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.44%E -0.712%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.42%E -0.701%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:10
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.44%E -0.712%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.42%E -0.701%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:10
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 21:00
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.03%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.60%EV -7.16%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.36%EV -4.68%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 19:05
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 20:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 20:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 20:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 20:50
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 21:15
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:40
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:40
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 21:14
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -9.25%E -4.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 07:29
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.27%E -4.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 21:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.27%E -4.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -12.66%E -7.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.73%E -4.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.76%E -4.68%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.76%E -4.68%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -18.54%E -6.44%K -9.86%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -11.20%E -6.15%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -15.19%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-16 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:16
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-16 21:20