مدرسة الاحتمالات

Internacional v Vasco da Gama

البداية: 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Internacional 4–1 Vasco da Gama

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Internacional (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.79%2.05السعر العادل
EV -1.44%
الأفضلية -0.712%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.09%48.77%48.83%49.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.791.911.912.0255.87%52.32%52.36%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vasco da Gama (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.92%4.36السعر العادل
EV +1.55%
الأفضلية +0.350%
Kelly +0.451%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.42%22.89%22.88%24.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.044.004.4327.03%24.78%25.00%22.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.28%3.54السعر العادل
EV -2.42%
الأفضلية -0.701%
Kelly -0.987%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.54%28.35%28.29%29.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.273.303.4534.72%30.55%30.30%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.91%EV +1.55%E +0.350%K +0.451%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 21:25
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.38%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.15%EV +0.173%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 21:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.64%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -0.744%E -0.172%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:16
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:01
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:00
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.35%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.05%EV -0.973%E -0.225%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 21:01
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -1.43%E -0.333%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 21:16
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.43%E -0.333%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:15
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 20:51
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:25
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:22
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:21
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 21:25
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.72%E -0.887%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 20:40
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -4.87%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 21:10
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.44%E -0.712%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.42%E -0.701%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:10
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.44%E -0.712%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.42%E -0.701%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 21:10
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.02%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 21:00
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.03%EV -2.90%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.60%EV -7.16%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.36%EV -4.68%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 19:05
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 20:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 20:50
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 20:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 20:50
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.29%E -3.84%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.31%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.32%E -3.97%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 21:15
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:40
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:40
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 21:14
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.86%EV -9.25%E -4.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -11.75%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 07:29
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.27%E -4.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 21:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.27%E -4.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.08%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.59%EV -12.66%E -7.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -13.73%E -4.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.76%E -4.68%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -8.76%E -4.68%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -14.04%E -3.74%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -18.54%E -6.44%K -9.86%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -11.20%E -6.15%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -15.19%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -10.90%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 21:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-05-16 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-05-16 21:16
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-16 21:20