Language:English
Internacional v Grêmio
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Internacional (Local)
Prediction 52.69%1.90fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.24%52.60%52.63%54.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8759.88%56.64%56.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grêmio (Visit)
Prediction 20.45%4.89fair odd
EV +5.13%
Edge +0.998%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 5.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.77%20.51%20.54%22.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.514.505.1424.39%22.17%22.22%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -0.618%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.229%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.05%26.89%26.83%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.463.483.7033.33%28.91%28.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Internacional (Local): 52.69%; Grêmio (Visit): 20.45%; Draw: 26.86%. For Grêmio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.86%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.89%EV +5.13%E +0.998%K +1.24%G +0.064% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%EV -0.618%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +2.27%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.62%EV +0.834%E +0.169%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV -3.57%E -0.995%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -9.91%E -5.79%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV +0.220%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.46%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.51%EV -3.57%E -0.995%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.85%E -5.12%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -3.58%E -1.96%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -7.27%E -4.13%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -7.60%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV -2.53%E -1.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -1.96%E -0.537%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV -2.53%E -1.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -1.96%E -0.537%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.82%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.27%E -4.13%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -11.49%E -6.84%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -8.32%E -4.78%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -8.32%E -4.78%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.64%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.55%EV -9.48%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 23:23 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.17%EV -12.01%E -7.19%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.42%E -6.47%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-11 23:27 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -1.48%E -0.789%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.22% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 0.2% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |