La escuela de los momiosInternacional v Grêmio
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Internacional (Local)
Predicción 52.69%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.789%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.24%52.60%52.63%54.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.771.8759.88%56.64%56.50%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grêmio (Visitante)
Predicción 20.45%4.89momio equitativo
EV +5.13%
Ventaja +0.998%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.064%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.77%20.51%20.54%22.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.514.505.1424.39%22.17%22.22%19.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.618%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.229%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%26.89%26.83%28.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.483.7033.33%28.91%28.78%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.86%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.89%EV +5.13%E +0.998%K +1.24%G +0.064% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%EV -0.618%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +2.27%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.62%EV +0.834%E +0.169%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV -3.57%E -0.995%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -9.91%E -5.79%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV +0.220%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.46%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.51%EV -3.57%E -0.995%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.85%E -5.12%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -3.58%E -1.96%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -7.27%E -4.13%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -7.60%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV -2.53%E -1.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -1.96%E -0.537%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV -2.53%E -1.37%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -1.96%E -0.537%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.82%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.27%E -4.13%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -11.49%E -6.84%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -8.32%E -4.78%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -8.32%E -4.78%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 23:22 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.64%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.55%EV -9.48%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 23:23 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.17%EV -12.01%E -7.19%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.42%E -6.47%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-11 23:27 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -1.48%E -0.789%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.22% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 0.2% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:30 |