La scuola delle quote

Internacional v Grêmio

Inizio: 2026-04-11 23:32 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Internacional (Casa)

Previsione 52.69%1.90quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.789%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.24%52.60%52.63%54.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.771.771.8759.88%56.64%56.50%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grêmio (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.45%4.89quota equa
EV +5.13%
Vantaggio +0.998%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.064%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.77%20.51%20.54%22.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.514.505.1424.39%22.17%22.22%19.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.86%3.72quota equa
EV -0.618%
Vantaggio -0.167%
Kelly -0.229%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.05%26.89%26.83%28.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.463.483.7033.33%28.91%28.78%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.86%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.89%EV +5.13%E +0.998%K +1.24%G +0.064%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%EV -0.618%E -0.167%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 23:29
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +2.27%E +0.453%K +0.566%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:30
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.44%EV -4.64%E -2.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.62%EV +0.834%E +0.169%K +0.212%G +0.002%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV -3.57%E -0.995%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 23:29
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -9.91%E -5.79%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV +0.220%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:29
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:30
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -4.38%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:29
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.46%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.51%EV -3.57%E -0.995%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 23:29
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.85%E -5.12%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:30
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -2.85%E -0.599%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 23:29
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -3.58%E -1.96%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:29
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:29
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -7.27%E -4.13%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -7.60%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 23:29
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -3.87%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 23:30
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV -2.53%E -1.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -1.96%E -0.537%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 23:29
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%EV -2.53%E -1.37%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -1.96%E -0.537%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 23:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 23:30
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.82%EV -5.69%E -3.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 23:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.30%E -0.918%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:29
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 23:29
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 23:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 23:29
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 23:29
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 23:30
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 23:30
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 23:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 23:30
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 23:22
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 23:22
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 23:29
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 23:22
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 23:22
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.28%EV -6.74%E -3.81%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:30
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.27%E -4.13%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 23:22
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -11.49%E -6.84%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 23:29
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -7.80%E -4.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 23:30
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -8.32%E -4.78%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 23:22
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -8.32%E -4.78%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -7.33%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 23:22
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 23:30
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.64%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.55%EV -9.48%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 23:23
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.16%E -2.87%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 23:29
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.22%E -3.49%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 23:29
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.38%E -5.45%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -13.07%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.17%EV -12.01%E -7.19%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.42%E -6.47%K -9.71%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-11 23:27
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -1.48%E -0.789%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.99%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -10.43%E -6.14%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 23:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.22%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%0.2%2026-04-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-04-11 23:30
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.35%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-11 23:30
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.52%2.3%2026-04-11 23:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 52.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%5.9%2026-04-11 23:30