Школа коэффициентов

Grêmio v Santos

Начало: 2026-05-23 22:00 UTC

Итог: Grêmio 3–2 Santos

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Grêmio (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.26%2.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.53%
Преимущество -1.58%
Kelly -2.87%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.23%43.22%43.25%44.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.68%46.51%44.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Santos (Гости)

Прогноз 27.72%3.61справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.19%
Преимущество +0.327%
Kelly +0.450%
Рост +0.005%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.64%27.76%27.72%28.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.053.383.403.6532.79%29.58%29.41%27.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.01%3.45справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.80%
Преимущество -0.836%
Kelly -1.19%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.34%29.01%29.04%30.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.28%31.25%29.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.26%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV +1.19%E +0.327%K +0.450%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -2.80%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 21:49
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.26%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV +1.19%E +0.327%K +0.450%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -2.80%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 21:49
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.28%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -2.13%E -0.605%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 21:39
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -3.53%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.41%E -0.685%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.08%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 21:40
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.60%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.25%EV -2.41%E -0.685%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.15%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 21:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 21:40
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 21:10
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 21:39
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:48
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:48
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:48
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:48
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:49
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:49
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:19
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%EV -6.55%E -3.03%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.23%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.89%EV -4.83%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 21:49
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -10.02%E -4.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 21:49
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.58%EV -7.42%E -3.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 21:49
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 21:09
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -5.26%E -2.40%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 10:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 20:29
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 17:29
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:46
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:49
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 21:49
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 21:39
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -10.88%E -5.28%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 21:48
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -10.88%E -5.28%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 21:48
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 22:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 21:19
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -11.75%E -5.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -11.75%E -5.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 21:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 21:19
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:19
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:10
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 21:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 14:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 21:19
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 21:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 17:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 21:19
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -10.45%E -5.05%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.77%EV -10.73%E -3.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.03%EV -10.64%E -3.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 21:39
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 17:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:39
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -13.48%E -6.74%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 21:38
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.31%E -5.52%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -15.44%E -5.06%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 21:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-05-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-05-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-23 21:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-23 21:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-23 21:50