La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Grêmio v Santos
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio (Local)
Predicción 43.26%2.31momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.23%43.22%43.25%44.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.68%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Santos (Visitante)
Predicción 27.72%3.61momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.327%
Kelly +0.450%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.64%27.76%27.72%28.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.383.403.6532.79%29.58%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.01%3.45momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -0.836%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.34%29.01%29.04%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.28%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.26%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV +1.19%E +0.327%K +0.450%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -2.80%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.26%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV +1.19%E +0.327%K +0.450%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -2.80%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.28%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -2.13%E -0.605%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 21:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -3.53%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.41%E -0.685%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.08%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.60%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.25%EV -2.41%E -0.685%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.15%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 21:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 21:39 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 21:48 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 21:48 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 21:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 21:48 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 21:19 |
| GTbets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%EV -6.55%E -3.03%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.23%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.89%EV -4.83%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -10.02%E -4.82%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.58%EV -7.42%E -3.47%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -5.26%E -2.40%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 10:10 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 20:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 21:46 |
| BetUS | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| BetAnything | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 21:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 21:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -10.88%E -5.28%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 21:48 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -10.88%E -5.28%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 21:48 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 22:00 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 21:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -11.75%E -5.76%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -11.75%E -5.76%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 21:19 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 21:10 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 21:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 21:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 14:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 21:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 17:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-23 21:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -10.45%E -5.05%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.77%EV -10.73%E -3.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.03%EV -10.64%E -3.45%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-23 21:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 17:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -13.48%E -6.74%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-23 21:38 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.31%E -5.52%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -15.44%E -5.06%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 21:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-05-23 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-05-23 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-23 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-23 21:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 21:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 21:50 |