Szkoła Kursów

Grêmio v Santos

Początek: 2026-05-23 22:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Grêmio 3–2 Santos

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Grêmio (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.26%2.31kurs godziwy
EV -3.53%
Przewaga -1.58%
Kelly -2.87%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.23

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.23%43.22%43.25%44.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.68%46.51%44.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Santos (Goście)

Prognoza 27.72%3.61kurs godziwy
EV +1.19%
Przewaga +0.327%
Kelly +0.450%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.64%27.76%27.72%28.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.053.383.403.6532.79%29.58%29.41%27.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.01%3.45kurs godziwy
EV -2.80%
Przewaga -0.836%
Kelly -1.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.34%29.01%29.04%30.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.28%31.25%29.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.26%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV +1.19%E +0.327%K +0.450%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -2.80%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 21:49
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.26%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%EV +1.19%E +0.327%K +0.450%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -2.80%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 21:49
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.28%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -2.13%E -0.605%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 21:39
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -3.53%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.41%E -0.685%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.08%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 21:40
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.60%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.25%EV -2.41%E -0.685%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.15%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 21:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 21:40
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 21:10
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 21:10
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 21:39
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:48
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:48
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:48
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:48
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:49
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:49
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.97%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 21:19
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%EV -6.55%E -3.03%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.23%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.89%EV -4.83%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 21:49
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -10.02%E -4.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -4.35%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 21:49
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.58%EV -7.42%E -3.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 21:49
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 21:09
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -5.26%E -2.40%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 10:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 20:29
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 17:29
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:46
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:49
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 21:49
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 21:49
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 21:39
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -10.88%E -5.28%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 21:48
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.25%EV -10.88%E -5.28%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 21:48
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 22:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 21:19
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -11.75%E -5.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -11.75%E -5.76%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 21:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 21:19
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:19
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:10
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 21:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 14:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.82%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 21:19
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 21:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 17:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 21:19
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -10.45%E -5.05%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.77%EV -10.73%E -3.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.03%EV -10.64%E -3.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 21:39
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 17:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.28%E -3.53%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 21:39
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.45%EV -13.48%E -6.74%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -12.67%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.97%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 21:38
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.31%E -5.52%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -15.44%E -5.06%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 21:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-05-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-05-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-05-23 21:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-23 21:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-23 21:50