La scuola delle quote

Grêmio v Fluminense

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Grêmio (Casa)

Previsione 35.12%2.85quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.594%
Kelly -0.924%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.23%35.14%35.18%36.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.652.652.8041.67%37.70%37.74%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fluminense (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.20%2.76quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -0.702%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.83%36.30%36.13%37.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.582.602.7141.67%38.79%38.46%36.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.68%3.49quota equa
EV +0.384%
Vantaggio +0.110%
Kelly +0.154%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.88%28.56%28.69%29.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.88%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -5.17%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV +0.384%E +0.110%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-25 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.48%E -0.731%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.20%E -4.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -2.48%E -0.731%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 22:04
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -3.42%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.07%EV -2.99%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -3.63%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:39
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -3.42%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.07%EV -2.99%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -3.63%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:44
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -3.42%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.07%EV -2.99%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -3.63%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:39
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -3.42%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.26%E -0.839%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 22:20
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -3.42%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.26%E -0.839%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 22:20
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 06:40
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.79%EV -1.66%E -0.594%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.95%EV -1.90%E -0.702%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.26%EV -4.49%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 09:40
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.80%EV -2.37%E -0.851%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.97%EV -2.63%E -0.976%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.23%EV -5.07%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 09:40
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -3.42%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.09%EV -3.71%E -1.40%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -5.07%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 09:25
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 09:20
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.17%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 06:39
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 09:05
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.17%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 09:10
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 10:54
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 09:20
betano_uk2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.17%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 05:43
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.17%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 05:45
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 06:40
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 20:34
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.74%EV -8.78%E -3.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.32%EV -6.21%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 09:33
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.17%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 06:34
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.80%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:38
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.88%E -2.19%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.61%E -2.56%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 04:04
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.88%E -2.19%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.61%E -2.56%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 04:04
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 04:39
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:04
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -7.98%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 06:39
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -7.98%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.83%EV -1.90%E -0.702%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.14%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 13:04
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.96%EV -6.23%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.04%EV -6.25%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.99%EV -7.65%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 09:20
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.17%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.17%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -7.63%E -2.90%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 22:19
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -7.63%E -2.90%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 04:39
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 04:04
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.93%E -2.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 05:14
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -13.12%E -5.47%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 21:30
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.20%E -4.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:04
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:19
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:19
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:19
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 16:53
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.98%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 09:20
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -10.44%E -4.10%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 09:20
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.88%EV -15.71%E -6.55%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.88%EV -13.12%E -5.47%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-25 09:05
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.98%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 06:44
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.98%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 06:44
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.98%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 06:44
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.98%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 06:45
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.69%E -3.34%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 09:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.74%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.00%-0.1%2026-07-26 10:35
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-07-26 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-07-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-07-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.60%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-07-26 10:20
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-26 06:10