L’École des cotes

Grêmio v Fluminense

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grêmio (Local)

Prévision 35.28%2.83cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.825%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.53%35.35%35.25%36.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.642.652.7741.67%37.86%37.74%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fluminense (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.20%2.76cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.700%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.83%36.27%36.13%37.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.7141.67%38.75%38.46%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.52%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.167%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.067%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.88%28.38%28.62%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.273.253.5032.79%30.61%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -2.28%E -0.825%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.13%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 04:39
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 34.93%EV -2.64%E -0.956%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.11%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.95%EV -5.02%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 04:40
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 22:20
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 22:20
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.07%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:39
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.07%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:44
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.07%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:39
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.18%EV -3.70%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -5.02%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.167%E -0.048%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 20:35
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:00
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:00
betano_uk2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 05:19
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 05:19
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.46%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.60%E -2.56%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 04:04
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.46%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.60%E -2.56%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 04:04
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 17:16
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 21:30
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 09:05
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 09:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 10:54
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:38
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 04:39
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:35
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -6.24%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -7.58%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 09:15
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 04:04
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 05:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 22:19
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 04:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 21:35
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.83%EV -1.90%E -0.700%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.14%EV -7.58%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 13:04
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 04:09
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 19:55
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 01:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 20:35
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 20:34
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:34
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:19
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:19
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:19
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 16:53
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -13.12%E -5.47%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 21:30
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.06%EV -9.34%E -3.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.22%E -4.12%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:10
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -10.05%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 01:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 22:04
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:04
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-25 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.88%EV -15.34%E -6.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.88%EV -13.12%E -5.47%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-25 09:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-07-26 05:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-26 05:10
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-07-26 05:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-26 05:10