La escuela de los momios

Grêmio v Fluminense

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grêmio (Local)

Predicción 35.28%2.83momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.53%35.35%35.25%36.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.642.652.7741.67%37.86%37.74%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fluminense (Visitante)

Predicción 36.20%2.76momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.700%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.83%36.27%36.13%37.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.7141.67%38.75%38.46%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.52%3.51momio equitativo
EV -0.167%
Ventaja -0.048%
Kelly -0.067%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.88%28.38%28.62%29.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.273.253.5032.79%30.61%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -2.28%E -0.825%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.13%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 04:39
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 34.93%EV -2.64%E -0.956%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.11%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.95%EV -5.02%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 04:40
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 22:20
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.26%E -0.837%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 22:20
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.07%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:39
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.07%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:44
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.99%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.07%EV -2.98%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:39
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.18%EV -3.70%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%EV -5.02%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.167%E -0.048%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 20:35
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:00
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:00
betano_uk2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 05:19
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 05:19
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.46%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.60%E -2.56%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 04:04
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.46%E -2.04%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.60%E -2.56%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 04:04
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 17:16
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.83%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 21:30
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 09:05
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 09:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 10:54
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:39
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -4.79%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 04:38
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 04:39
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:35
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -6.24%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -7.58%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 09:15
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 04:04
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 05:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 22:19
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.29%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.70%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 04:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 21:35
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.83%EV -1.90%E -0.700%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.14%EV -7.58%E -2.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 13:04
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 04:09
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 19:55
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -4.07%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 01:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 20:35
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 20:34
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:34
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.88%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:19
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:19
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 22:19
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -7.69%E -3.02%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 16:53
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -13.12%E -5.47%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 21:30
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.06%EV -9.34%E -3.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.22%E -4.12%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:10
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -10.05%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.05%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 01:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.50%E -3.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.02%E -0.888%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 22:04
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:04
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.31%E -4.62%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-25 19:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.88%EV -15.34%E -6.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.88%EV -13.12%E -5.47%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-25 09:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-07-26 05:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-07-26 05:10
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-07-26 05:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-26 05:10