預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Grêmio v Chapecoense

2026-08-30 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

獨贏

19 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Grêmio (主隊)

預測 64.30%1.56公平賠率
EV -3.54%
優勢 -2.36%
Kelly -7.09%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.50

博彩公司預測分布
61.43%64.25%64.07%65.54%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.391.441.441.5071.94%69.65%69.44%66.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Chapecoense (客隊)

預測 13.79%7.25公平賠率
EV -3.46%
優勢 -0.494%
Kelly -0.577%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 7.00

博彩公司預測分布
13.23%13.80%13.87%15.98%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.406.396.507.0018.52%15.65%15.38%14.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 21.90%4.57公平賠率
EV -1.43%
優勢 -0.318%
Kelly -0.409%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.50

博彩公司預測分布
20.97%21.95%22.05%23.21%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.754.064.004.5026.67%24.66%25.00%22.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Grêmio (主隊):64.30%;Chapecoense (客隊):13.79%;和局:21.90%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於4.57的公平十進位賠率。 沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率:目前最佳賠率為4.50,期望值為-1.43%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (19 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -3.54%E -2.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.91%EV -4.98%E -0.722%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 19:54
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -4.83%E -3.26%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.494%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -11.73%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.19%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.38%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 19:04
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.60%EV -6.12%E -4.19%K -13.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.46%E -0.494%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -6.12%E -4.19%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -7.60%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.00%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 19:49
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.46%E -0.494%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -1.43%E -0.318%K -0.409%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 19:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.57%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 18:54
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.57%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.57%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.57%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.46%E -0.494%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -22.77%E -4.07%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -12.38%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.60%EV -9.33%E -6.62%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.24%EV -21.39%E -3.75%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-17 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 19:15
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.38%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-17 18:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.98%EV -25.53%E -4.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.41%EV -15.67%E -4.07%K -5.50%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-17 18:19
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -24.15%E -4.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-17 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 62.02%EV -10.62%E -7.64%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 14.99%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.99%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-17 18:04
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%8.0%2026-08-17 20:00
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 61.41%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%16.3%2026-08-17 18:05

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