语言:简体中文
Grêmio v Chapecoense
胜负盘
Grêmio (主队)
预测 64.30%1.56公平赔率
EV -3.54%
优势 -2.36%
Kelly -7.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
61.43%64.25%64.07%65.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.441.441.5071.94%69.65%69.44%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Chapecoense (客队)
预测 13.79%7.25公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -0.494%
Kelly -0.577%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.23%13.80%13.87%15.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.406.396.507.0018.52%15.65%15.38%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.90%4.57公平赔率
EV -1.43%
优势 -0.318%
Kelly -0.409%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
20.97%21.95%22.05%23.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.064.004.5026.67%24.66%25.00%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Grêmio (主队)：64.30%；Chapecoense (客队)：13.79%；平局：21.90%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.57。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为4.50，期望值为-1.43%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -3.54%E -2.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.91%EV -4.98%E -0.722%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -4.83%E -3.26%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -3.46%E -0.494%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -11.73%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.19%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.38%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.60%EV -6.12%E -4.19%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.46%E -0.494%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -6.12%E -4.19%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -7.60%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.00%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 19:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.46%E -0.494%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -1.43%E -0.318%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.57%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.57%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.57%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.57%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.46%E -0.494%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -22.77%E -4.07%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.07%EV -12.38%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.60%EV -9.33%E -6.62%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.24%EV -21.39%E -3.75%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -5.16%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.38%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-17 18:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.98%EV -25.53%E -4.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.41%EV -15.67%E -4.07%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-17 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -24.15%E -4.39%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-17 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.02%EV -10.62%E -7.64%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 14.99%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.99%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-08-17 18:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (2)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.41% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24% | 16.3% | 2026-08-17 18:05 |
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