Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.61
avec la cote maximale 7.00
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grêmio (Local) : 61.00% ; Chapecoense (Visiteur) : 15.60% ; Match nul : 23.40%. Pour Chapecoense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.41. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +9.21%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.98%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.68%EV +9.21%E +1.32%K +1.54%G +0.141% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.35%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.70%EV -6.06%E -3.94%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +5.31%E +0.787%K +0.924%G +0.049% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.70%EV -6.06%E -3.94%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.31%EV +5.31%E +0.787%K +0.924%G +0.049% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -11.55%E -7.97%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV +4.53%E +0.676%K +0.795%G +0.036% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.85%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.63I 15.08%NM 14.55%EV +3.44%E +0.519%K +0.611%G +0.021% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.59%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.84%EV +1.41%E +0.217%K +0.257%G +0.004% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.35%EV -3.37%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.84%EV +1.41%E +0.217%K +0.257%G +0.004% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.35%EV -3.37%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.84%EV +1.41%E +0.217%K +0.257%G +0.004% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.35%EV -3.37%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -9.72%E -6.57%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +1.41%E +0.217%K +0.257%G +0.004% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.24%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.17%EV -1.71%E -0.271%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.59%EV -5.24%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.28%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.12%EV -1.71%E -0.271%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -9.45%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.67%EV -1.71%E -0.271%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -2.49%E -0.398%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.49%E -0.398%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.49%E -0.398%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.49%E -0.398%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.49%E -0.398%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -2.49%E -0.398%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -5.61%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.22%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 16.08%EV -5.92%E -0.982%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.70%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.84%E -3.10%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -6.06%E -3.94%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 21:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.06%E -3.94%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 21:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.06%E -3.94%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.28%E -4.79%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 21:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 20:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -12.16%E -8.44%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.16%E -8.44%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -12.16%E -8.44%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -6.39%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -5.45%E -3.52%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.91%EV -7.33%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -3.62%E -2.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -7.95%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.51%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -9.72%E -6.57%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -9.51%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -9.72%E -6.57%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -9.51%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -4.23%E -2.69%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -10.29%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 20:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.29%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.29%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.29%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.86%EV -10.94%E -7.49%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -10.29%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.86%EV -10.94%E -7.49%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -10.29%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.67%EV -6.67%E -4.36%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -12.63%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.99%EV -7.89%E -5.23%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -12.63%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.65%EV -9.72%E -6.57%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.63%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.50%E -5.67%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.19%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -10.94%E -7.49%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.19%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.09%E -2.92%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -9.72%E -6.57%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -17.31%E -3.27%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.25% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.24% | 0.1% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.86% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 21:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.97% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 1.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |