Language:English
Fluminense v Sao Paulo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fluminense (Local)
Prediction 54.37%1.84fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.881%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.72%54.37%54.34%56.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.701.8162.11%58.81%58.82%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sao Paulo (Visit)
Prediction 19.65%5.09fair odd
EV +5.13%
Edge +0.959%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.061%
assuming max odds 5.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.70%19.60%19.71%21.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.794.805.3523.81%20.89%20.83%18.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV +0.031%
Edge +0.008%
Kelly +0.011%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.99%26.03%25.95%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.89%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fluminense (Local): 54.37%; Sao Paulo (Visit): 19.65%; Draw: 25.98%. For Sao Paulo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.15%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.04%EV +5.13%E +0.959%K +1.18%G +0.061% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-16 21:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +4.15%E +0.783%K +0.965%G +0.040% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.30%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV +3.17%E +0.603%K +0.745%G +0.024% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.30%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV +3.17%E +0.603%K +0.745%G +0.024% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.30%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV +3.17%E +0.603%K +0.745%G +0.024% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +2.18%E +0.420%K +0.520%G +0.011% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV +0.031%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +2.18%E +0.420%K +0.520%G +0.011% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV +0.031%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.67%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.84%EV +1.00%E +0.195%K +0.242%G +0.002% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.27%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 21:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +0.218%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.14%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.67%EV -0.765%E -0.151%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 21:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 21:56 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 21:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.56%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -10.29%E -6.24%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -10.29%E -6.24%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.71%E -0.758%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.71%E -0.758%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 21:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -3.71%E -0.758%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.25%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -4.70%E -0.968%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.54%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 21:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.51%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 21:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -11.38%E -6.98%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 21:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -11.38%E -6.98%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 21:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 21:41 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.92%EV -1.60%E -0.881%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.55%EV -8.43%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.53%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 21:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.73%EV -9.84%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 21:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -13.54%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -13.54%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.54%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.03%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -14.52%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -12.96%E -3.87%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 21:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -14.91%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.92%E -7.36%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -14.91%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -19.46%E -6.28%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-16 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -17.47%E -4.16%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 20:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 21:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.43% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 21:45 |