赔率学院

Fluminense v Sao Paulo

开赛时间: 2026-05-16 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Fluminense 2–1 Sao Paulo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Fluminense (主队)

预测 54.37%1.84公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -0.881%
Kelly -1.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.81

博彩公司预测分布
52.72%54.37%54.34%56.30%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.611.701.701.8162.11%58.81%58.82%55.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

Sao Paulo (客队)

预测 19.65%5.09公平赔率
EV +5.13%
优势 +0.959%
Kelly +1.18%
增长率 +0.061%

假设最高赔率为 5.35

博彩公司预测分布
17.70%19.60%19.71%21.25%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.204.794.805.3523.81%20.89%20.83%18.69%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 25.98%3.85公平赔率
EV +0.031%
优势 +0.008%
Kelly +0.011%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.99%26.03%25.95%27.55%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.89%27.78%25.97%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.15%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.04%EV +5.13%E +0.959%K +1.18%G +0.061%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 21:56
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +4.15%E +0.783%K +0.965%G +0.040%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.30%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV +3.17%E +0.603%K +0.745%G +0.024%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.30%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV +3.17%E +0.603%K +0.745%G +0.024%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:50
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 56.30%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV +3.17%E +0.603%K +0.745%G +0.024%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +2.18%E +0.420%K +0.520%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV +0.031%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 21:55
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +2.18%E +0.420%K +0.520%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV +0.031%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 21:55
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.67%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.84%EV +1.00%E +0.195%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.27%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 21:56
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +0.218%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:55
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.14%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.67%EV -0.765%E -0.151%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 21:55
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:56
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:55
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:56
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:56
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:45
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.56%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 21:35
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -10.29%E -6.24%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -10.29%E -6.24%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.71%E -0.758%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 21:55
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.71%E -0.758%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:56
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -3.71%E -0.758%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 21:20
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.25%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -4.70%E -0.968%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.54%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:35
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.51%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:46
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -11.38%E -6.98%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:56
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -11.38%E -6.98%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:56
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:55
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 20:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 21:45
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:41
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.92%EV -1.60%E -0.881%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.55%EV -8.43%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.53%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 18:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:15
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 21:31
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 20:55
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 20:55
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 21:10
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 19:50
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.73%EV -9.84%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 21:33
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -13.54%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 19:50
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -13.54%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.54%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 20:55
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.03%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -14.52%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -12.96%E -3.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 21:35
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -14.91%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.92%E -7.36%K -19.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -14.91%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -19.46%E -6.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-16 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -17.47%E -4.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 20:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-16 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-16 21:45
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 21:45
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 21:56
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.43%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-05-16 21:45