Школа коэффициентов

Fluminense v Sao Paulo

Начало: 2026-05-16 22:00 UTC

Итог: Fluminense 2–1 Sao Paulo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fluminense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 54.37%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.60%
Преимущество -0.881%
Kelly -1.97%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.81

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.72%54.37%54.34%56.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.611.701.701.8162.11%58.81%58.82%55.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sao Paulo (Гости)

Прогноз 19.65%5.09справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.13%
Преимущество +0.959%
Kelly +1.18%
Рост +0.061%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.70%19.60%19.71%21.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.794.805.3523.81%20.89%20.83%18.69%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.98%3.85справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.031%
Преимущество +0.008%
Kelly +0.011%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.99%26.03%25.95%27.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.89%27.78%25.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.15%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.04%EV +5.13%E +0.959%K +1.18%G +0.061%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 21:56
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +4.15%E +0.783%K +0.965%G +0.040%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:45
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.30%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV +3.17%E +0.603%K +0.745%G +0.024%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.30%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV +3.17%E +0.603%K +0.745%G +0.024%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:50
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 56.30%EV -8.12%E -4.80%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV +3.17%E +0.603%K +0.745%G +0.024%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -3.35%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +2.18%E +0.420%K +0.520%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV +0.031%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 21:55
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +2.18%E +0.420%K +0.520%G +0.011%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%EV +0.031%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 21:55
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.67%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.84%EV +1.00%E +0.195%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.27%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 21:56
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +0.218%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 21:55
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.14%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.67%EV -0.765%E -0.151%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 21:55
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:56
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:55
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:56
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:56
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:45
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.56%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 21:35
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -10.29%E -6.24%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -1.75%E -0.350%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -10.29%E -6.24%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -3.71%E -0.758%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 21:55
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.71%E -0.758%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:56
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -3.71%E -0.758%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 21:20
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.25%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -4.70%E -0.968%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.54%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:35
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.51%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:46
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -11.38%E -6.98%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:56
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -11.38%E -6.98%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 21:56
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:55
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 20:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 21:45
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:41
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.20%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:30
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.92%EV -1.60%E -0.881%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.55%EV -8.43%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.53%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 18:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:15
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 21:15
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 21:31
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 20:55
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 20:55
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 20:55
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 21:10
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 19:50
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.73%EV -9.84%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 21:33
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -13.54%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 19:50
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -13.54%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.66%E -5.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.54%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 20:55
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.03%EV -12.47%E -7.74%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -14.52%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -12.96%E -3.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 21:35
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.94%E -3.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -14.91%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.92%E -7.36%K -19.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -14.91%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -19.46%E -6.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-16 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.84%E -6.61%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -17.47%E -4.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 20:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-16 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-16 21:45
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 21:45
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.10%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 21:56
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.43%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-05-16 21:45