Szkoła Kursów

Flamengo v Santos

Początek: 2026-04-05 20:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Flamengo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 69.82%1.43kurs godziwy
EV -1.56%
Przewaga -1.11%
Kelly -3.80%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.41

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.98%69.77%69.82%72.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.331.341.4180.00%74.91%74.63%70.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Santos (Goście)

Prognoza 10.29%9.72kurs godziwy
EV +15.90%
Przewaga +1.41%
Kelly +1.55%
Wzrost +0.246%

przy maksymalnym kursie 11.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.49%10.28%10.30%12.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.259.109.0011.2613.79%10.98%11.11%8.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 19.89%5.03kurs godziwy
EV -0.544%
Przewaga -0.109%
Kelly -0.136%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.82%19.95%19.88%21.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.354.694.755.0022.99%21.34%21.05%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.99%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%11.26I 8.88%NM 8.57%EV +15.90%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.246%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.45%EV -1.34%E -0.270%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 20:20
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +13.22%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.175%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -0.544%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 20:25
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +13.22%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.175%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 20:20
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +8.08%E +0.769%K +0.850%G +0.069%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:22
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +8.08%E +0.769%K +0.850%G +0.069%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:23
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -1.56%E -1.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.97%EV +0.358%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.09%EV -8.30%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 20:25
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.79%EV -4.35%E -3.18%K -11.76%G +0.000%9.73I 10.28%NM 9.83%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.39%EV -6.71%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:25
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.36%EV -3.65%E -2.65%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV -0.544%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 19:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 70.36%EV -3.65%E -2.65%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV -0.544%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 19:50
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 03:09
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 03:09
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 03:09
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 20:20
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 20:08
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 71.48%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -2.53%E -0.517%K -0.649%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.75%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 20:24
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -12.73%E -10.18%K -50.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 20:20
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -4.27%E -0.460%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:25
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.30%E -0.576%K -0.647%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 20:05
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:45
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:39
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:44
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:45
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:20
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 19:44
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 20:20
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 20:10
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 20:10
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.64%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 19:50
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 19:45
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.96%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 20:14
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 68.80%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -9.42%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -11.48%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:20
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.80%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -9.42%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -11.48%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:19
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -3.65%E -2.65%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV -9.94%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:29
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.50%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV -9.94%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 20:24
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:25
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 20:20
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:34
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:34
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 19:50
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 19:50
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.12%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.61%EV -13.54%E -1.61%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -15.08%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -15.08%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.82%EV -15.08%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -13.47%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 20:18
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.09%EV -25.38%E -3.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-05 20:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.83%0.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.83%0.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.00%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-04-05 20:25
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.00%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-04-05 20:25
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.53%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%2.0%2026-04-05 20:24
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.86%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.73%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%3.1%2026-04-05 20:25