La scuola delle quote

Flamengo v Santos

Inizio: 2026-04-05 20:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flamengo (Casa)

Previsione 69.82%1.43quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.98%69.77%69.82%72.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.331.341.4180.00%74.91%74.63%70.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santos (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.29%9.72quota equa
EV +15.90%
Vantaggio +1.41%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescita +0.246%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.49%10.28%10.30%12.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.259.109.0011.2613.79%10.98%11.11%8.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.89%5.03quota equa
EV -0.544%
Vantaggio -0.109%
Kelly -0.136%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.82%19.95%19.88%21.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.354.694.755.0022.99%21.34%21.05%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.99%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%11.26I 8.88%NM 8.57%EV +15.90%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.246%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.45%EV -1.34%E -0.270%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 20:20
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +13.22%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.175%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -0.544%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 20:25
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +13.22%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.175%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 20:20
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +8.08%E +0.769%K +0.850%G +0.069%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:22
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +8.08%E +0.769%K +0.850%G +0.069%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:23
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -1.56%E -1.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.97%EV +0.358%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.09%EV -8.30%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 20:25
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.79%EV -4.35%E -3.18%K -11.76%G +0.000%9.73I 10.28%NM 9.83%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.39%EV -6.71%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:25
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.36%EV -3.65%E -2.65%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV -0.544%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 19:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 70.36%EV -3.65%E -2.65%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV -0.544%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 19:50
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 03:09
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 03:09
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 03:09
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 20:20
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 20:08
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 71.48%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -2.53%E -0.517%K -0.649%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.75%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 20:24
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -12.73%E -10.18%K -50.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 20:20
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -4.27%E -0.460%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:25
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.30%E -0.576%K -0.647%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 20:05
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:45
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:39
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:44
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:45
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:20
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 19:44
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 20:20
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 20:10
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 20:10
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.64%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 19:50
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 19:45
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.96%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 20:14
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 68.80%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -9.42%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -11.48%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:20
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.80%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -9.42%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -11.48%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:19
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -3.65%E -2.65%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV -9.94%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:29
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.50%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV -9.94%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 20:24
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:25
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 20:20
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:34
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:34
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 19:50
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 19:50
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.12%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.61%EV -13.54%E -1.61%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -15.08%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -15.08%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.82%EV -15.08%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -13.47%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 20:18
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.09%EV -25.38%E -3.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-05 20:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.83%0.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.83%0.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.00%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-04-05 20:25
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.00%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-04-05 20:25
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.53%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%2.0%2026-04-05 20:24
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.86%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.73%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%3.1%2026-04-05 20:25