مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flamengo v Santos

البداية: 2026-04-05 20:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flamengo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 69.82%1.43السعر العادل
EV -1.56%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -3.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.98%69.77%69.82%72.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.331.341.4180.00%74.91%74.63%70.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Santos (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.29%9.72السعر العادل
EV +15.90%
الأفضلية +1.41%
Kelly +1.55%
النمو +0.246%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.49%10.28%10.30%12.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.259.109.0011.2613.79%10.98%11.11%8.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.89%5.03السعر العادل
EV -0.544%
الأفضلية -0.109%
Kelly -0.136%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.82%19.95%19.88%21.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.354.694.755.0022.99%21.34%21.05%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.99%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%11.26I 8.88%NM 8.57%EV +15.90%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.246%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.45%EV -1.34%E -0.270%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 20:20
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +13.22%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.175%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -0.544%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 20:25
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.85%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +13.22%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.175%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 20:20
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +8.08%E +0.769%K +0.850%G +0.069%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:22
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV +8.08%E +0.769%K +0.850%G +0.069%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:23
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%EV -1.56%E -1.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.97%EV +0.358%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.09%EV -8.30%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 20:25
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.79%EV -4.35%E -3.18%K -11.76%G +0.000%9.73I 10.28%NM 9.83%EV +0.152%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.39%EV -6.71%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:25
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.36%EV -3.65%E -2.65%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV -0.544%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 19:50
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 70.36%EV -3.65%E -2.65%K -9.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV -0.544%E -0.109%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 19:50
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 03:09
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 03:09
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.10%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 03:09
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.41%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 20:20
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.42%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 20:08
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 71.48%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -2.53%E -0.517%K -0.649%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.75%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 20:24
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -12.73%E -10.18%K -50.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -2.22%E -0.233%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 20:20
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.03%EV -4.27%E -0.460%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:25
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.30%E -0.576%K -0.647%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 20:05
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:45
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:39
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:44
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:45
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:20
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 19:44
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 20:20
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 20:10
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 20:10
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.64%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 19:50
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 19:45
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.96%EV -7.15%E -5.37%K -21.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -7.36%E -0.818%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 20:14
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 68.80%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -9.42%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -11.48%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:20
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.80%EV -6.45%E -4.81%K -18.96%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.48%EV -9.42%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -11.48%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 20:19
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.05%EV -3.65%E -2.65%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.89%EV -9.94%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:29
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.50%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV -9.94%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 20:24
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.05%E -3.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.52%E -0.942%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:25
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 20:20
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:34
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 14:34
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 19:50
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.82%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -8.50%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 19:50
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.52%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -12.51%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.49%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.12%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.61%EV -13.54%E -1.61%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -15.08%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -5.75%E -4.26%K -16.43%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -15.08%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.52%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.24%E -7.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.82%EV -15.08%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -13.47%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 20:18
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -7.84%E -5.94%K -24.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -17.66%E -2.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -6.51%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -9.94%E -7.70%K -34.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.09%EV -25.38%E -3.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -12.48%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-05 20:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.83%0.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.83%0.2%2026-04-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.00%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-04-05 20:25
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.00%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-04-05 20:25
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.53%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%2.0%2026-04-05 20:24
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.86%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.73%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%3.1%2026-04-05 20:25