The School of OddsCoritiba v Palmeiras
Head to Head
Option 1: Coritiba (Local)
Odds
3.2031.25%Min
3.7326.85%Mean
3.8525.97%Median
3.8525.97%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.36%4.281Min
26.28%3.805Max
24.89%4.018Mean
25.19%3.970Median
25.19%3.970IQM
24.94%4.010Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.85 under the IQM model: 25.19%
EV -3.02%Edge -0.785%Kelly -1.06%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Palmeiras (Visit)
Odds
1.8653.76%Min
1.9152.36%Mean
1.8753.48%Median
2.1047.62%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.10%2.268Min
48.09%2.079Max
46.08%2.170Mean
46.08%2.170Median
46.08%2.170IQM
45.91%2.178Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 46.08%
EV -3.23%Edge -1.54%Kelly -2.94%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
2.9533.90%Min
3.1431.86%Mean
3.1531.75%Median
3.3030.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.81%3.595Min
30.87%3.239Max
29.03%3.444Mean
28.73%3.481Median
28.73%3.481IQM
29.15%3.431Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 28.73%
EV -5.19%Edge -1.57%Kelly -2.26%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Coritiba (Local) ▼ | Palmeiras (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.09%EV +3.27% E +0.799% K +1.06% G +0.035% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.33%EV -7.84% E -3.92% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.58%EV -8.06% E -2.52% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-04 03:19 |
| 1xBet | 4.05I 24.69% NM 23.72%EV +2.02% E +0.498% K +0.661% G +0.013% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 48.03%EV -7.84% E -3.92% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 28.25%EV -2.31% E -0.681% K -0.964% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-03 18:40 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.53%EV +0.756% E +0.189% K +0.252% G +0.002% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.06%EV -7.84% E -3.92% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.41%EV -8.06% E -2.52% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.53%EV +0.756% E +0.189% K +0.252% G +0.002% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.06%EV -7.84% E -3.92% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.41%EV -8.06% E -2.52% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 21:19 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.42%EV +0.756% E +0.189% K +0.252% G +0.002% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.84%EV -7.84% E -3.92% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.74%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.42%EV +0.756% E +0.189% K +0.252% G +0.002% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.84%EV -7.84% E -3.92% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.74%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.94I 25.38% NM 23.67%EV -0.756% E -0.192% K -0.257% G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55% NM 48.07%EV -10.60% E -5.47% K -11.28% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.26%EV -5.19% E -1.57% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-03 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.31%EV -1.76% E -0.452% K -0.608% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.61%EV -10.14% E -5.20% K -10.68% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV +0.559% E +0.160% K +0.224% G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-06-07 12:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.11%EV -1.76% E -0.452% K -0.608% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.23%EV -10.14% E -5.20% K -10.68% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.66%EV -2.31% E -0.681% K -0.964% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 12:38 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV -3.02% E -0.785% K -1.06% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -9.50% E -3.01% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 08:29 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.33%EV -5.54% E -1.48% K -2.02% G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63% NM 48.02%EV -12.45% E -6.55% K -13.83% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.65%EV -5.19% E -1.57% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-07 12:39 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.75%EV -6.80% E -1.84% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.37%EV -3.23% E -1.54% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.87%EV -5.19% E -1.57% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 08:37 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.03%EV -6.80% E -1.84% K -2.52% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.10%EV -3.23% E -1.54% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.87%EV -13.81% E -4.60% K -6.90% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.33%EV -8.06% E -2.21% K -3.04% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.77%EV -6.92% E -3.42% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.89%EV -8.06% E -2.52% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.63I 27.55% NM 23.30%EV -8.56% E -2.36% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 48.32%EV -19.36% E -11.06% K -25.81% G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56% NM 28.38%EV -14.38% E -4.83% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-06-03 18:38 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.86%EV -10.58% E -2.98% K -4.15% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.45%EV -6.92% E -3.42% K -6.78% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.69%EV -8.06% E -2.52% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57% NM 25.83%EV -11.84% E -3.38% K -4.74% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 46.36%EV -10.14% E -5.20% K -10.68% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -6.62% E -2.04% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-05 08:34 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57% NM 24.87%EV -11.84% E -3.38% K -4.74% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 47.05%EV -14.75% E -7.97% K -17.36% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.08%EV -10.93% E -3.53% K -5.21% G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-06-07 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.18%EV -14.36% E -4.22% K -5.98% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 45.79%EV -13.83% E -7.40% K -15.90% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 29.03%EV -15.24% E -5.17% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41% NM 24.37%EV -14.36% E -4.22% K -5.98% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 46.03%EV -17.06% E -9.48% K -21.32% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 29.59%EV -19.55% E -6.98% K -10.86% G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-06-07 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.14%EV -15.62% E -4.66% K -6.65% G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08% NM 45.61%EV -11.53% E -6.00% K -12.53% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.25%EV -10.93% E -3.53% K -5.21% G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-05 08:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25% NM 26.28%EV -19.40% E -6.06% K -8.82% G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76% NM 45.21%EV -14.29% E -7.68% K -16.62% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 28.51%EV -15.24% E -5.17% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-07-05 08:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth