The School of OddsCoritiba v Palmeiras
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
Head to Head
Coritiba (Local)
Prediction 23.05%4.34fair odd
EV +5.32%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 4.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%22.92%23.45%24.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.604.074.014.5728%25%25%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Palmeiras (Visit)
Prediction 47.33%2.11fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.73%47.37%47.15%48.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.971.982.0553%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 29.63%3.38fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -0.968%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.43%29.71%29.40%31.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.153.3034%32%32%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.15%EV +5.32%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.079% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -7.56%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| 1xBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.70%E +0.823%K +1.06%G +0.039% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.72%EV -5.82%E -2.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| BetAnything | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| Coolbet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV +2.55%E +0.573%K +0.739%G +0.019% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.50%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.63%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 22:28 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -10.08%E -5.30%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| BetUS | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -0.906%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.84%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| SportsBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -0.906%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.77%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.77%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.74%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| betano_uk | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 22:28 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 22:05 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -7.24%E -3.69%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -8.66%E -4.49%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -8.66%E -4.49%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| GTbets | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.60%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.98%EV -6.97%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -4.87%E -2.42%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -10.08%E -5.30%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-22 22:20 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-22 21:45 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.81%EV -8.19%E -4.22%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.14%EV -11.03%E -5.86%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-22 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.19%E -4.22%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 21:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.13%EV -14.04%E -3.76%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.75%EV -7.26%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -11.03%E -5.86%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.63%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-22 21:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72% | 0.1% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72% | 0.1% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31% | 1.5% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |