La escuela de los momios

Coritiba v Palmeiras

Inicio: 2026-07-22 22:30 UTC

Final: Coritiba 1–3 Palmeiras

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coritiba (Local)

Predicción 23.05%4.34momio equitativo
EV +5.32%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.079%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.91%22.92%23.45%24.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.074.014.5727.78%24.59%24.94%21.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Palmeiras (Visitante)

Predicción 47.33%2.11momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.73%47.37%47.15%48.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.971.982.0553.19%50.73%50.51%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.63%3.38momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -0.675%
Kelly -0.968%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.43%29.71%29.40%31.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.153.3034.48%31.79%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.57I 21.88%NM 21.15%EV +5.32%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.079%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -7.56%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 22:15
1xBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.70%E +0.823%K +1.06%G +0.039%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.72%EV -5.82%E -2.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:19
BetOnline.ag4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 22:04
LowVig.ag4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 22:04
BetAnything4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 22:04
Coolbet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV +2.55%E +0.573%K +0.739%G +0.019%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.50%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.63%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:19
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 22:28
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:10
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -10.08%E -5.30%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:29
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -0.906%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.84%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 22:24
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -0.906%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:19
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.77%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.77%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.74%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:19
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:24
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 22:24
betano_uk4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 22:28
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:05
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -7.24%E -3.69%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 22:29
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -8.66%E -4.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -8.66%E -4.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 22:29
GTbets4.02I 24.88%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.60%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.98%EV -6.97%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 21:49
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -4.87%E -2.42%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 21:44
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 21:44
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:29
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:24
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -10.08%E -5.30%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 22:19
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 22:24
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 22:20
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:19
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:19
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 21:45
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:19
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 21:49
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 21:50
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 22:19
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.81%EV -8.19%E -4.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 22:19
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.14%EV -11.03%E -5.86%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 22:04
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 21:49
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.19%E -4.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 21:45
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 21:34
Betclic (FR)3.73I 26.81%NM 24.13%EV -14.04%E -3.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.75%EV -7.26%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:04
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -11.03%E -5.86%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.63%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 21:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72%0.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72%0.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-07-22 22:24
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-07-22 22:25
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-07-22 22:24
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-07-22 22:25