La scuola delle quote

Coritiba v Palmeiras

Inizio: 2026-07-22 22:30 UTC

Finale: Coritiba 1–3 Palmeiras

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Coritiba (Casa)

Previsione 23.05%4.34quota equa
EV +5.32%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescita +0.079%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.91%22.92%23.45%24.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.074.014.5727.78%24.59%24.94%21.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palmeiras (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.33%2.11quota equa
EV -2.98%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.73%47.37%47.15%48.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.971.982.0553.19%50.73%50.51%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.63%3.38quota equa
EV -2.23%
Vantaggio -0.675%
Kelly -0.968%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.43%29.71%29.40%31.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.153.153.3034.48%31.79%31.75%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.57I 21.88%NM 21.15%EV +5.32%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.079%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -7.56%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 22:15
1xBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.70%E +0.823%K +1.06%G +0.039%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.72%EV -5.82%E -2.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:19
BetOnline.ag4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 22:04
LowVig.ag4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 22:04
BetAnything4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 22:04
Coolbet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV +2.55%E +0.573%K +0.739%G +0.019%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.50%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.63%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:19
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 22:28
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:10
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -10.08%E -5.30%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:29
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -0.906%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.84%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 22:24
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -0.906%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:19
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.77%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.77%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.74%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:19
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:24
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 22:24
betano_uk4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 22:28
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:05
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -7.24%E -3.69%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 22:29
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -8.66%E -4.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -8.66%E -4.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 22:29
GTbets4.02I 24.88%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.60%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.98%EV -6.97%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 21:49
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -4.87%E -2.42%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 21:44
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 21:44
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:29
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:24
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -10.08%E -5.30%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 22:19
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 22:24
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 22:20
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:19
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:19
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 21:45
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:19
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 21:49
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 21:50
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 22:19
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.81%EV -8.19%E -4.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 22:19
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.14%EV -11.03%E -5.86%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 22:04
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 21:49
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.19%E -4.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 21:45
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 21:34
Betclic (FR)3.73I 26.81%NM 24.13%EV -14.04%E -3.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.75%EV -7.26%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:04
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -11.03%E -5.86%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.63%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 21:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72%0.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72%0.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-07-22 22:24
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-07-22 22:25
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-07-22 22:24
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-07-22 22:25