L’École des cotes

Coritiba v Palmeiras

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 22:30 UTC

Score final : Coritiba 1–3 Palmeiras

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coritiba (Local)

Prévision 23.05%4.34cote équitable
EV +5.32%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.49%
Croissance +0.079%

avec la cote maximale 4.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.91%22.92%23.45%24.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.074.014.5727.78%24.59%24.94%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palmeiras (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.33%2.11cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.73%47.37%47.15%48.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.971.982.0553.19%50.73%50.51%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.63%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.675%
Kelly -0.968%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.43%29.71%29.40%31.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.153.153.3034.48%31.79%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.57I 21.88%NM 21.15%EV +5.32%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.079%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.86%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -7.56%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 22:15
1xBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +3.70%E +0.823%K +1.06%G +0.039%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.72%EV -5.82%E -2.92%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-22 22:19
BetOnline.ag4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 22:04
LowVig.ag4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 22:04
BetAnything4.48I 22.32%NM 21.55%EV +3.24%E +0.724%K +0.932%G +0.030%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-22 22:04
Coolbet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV +2.55%E +0.573%K +0.739%G +0.019%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.50%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.63%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:19
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 22:28
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:10
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV +1.40%E +0.318%K +0.411%G +0.006%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -10.08%E -5.30%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 22:29
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -0.906%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.84%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 22:24
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -0.906%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:19
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.77%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.77%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -2.06%E -0.484%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -8.74%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:29
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:19
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 22:24
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.21%E -0.765%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 22:24
betano_uk4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 22:28
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:05
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -7.24%E -3.69%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 22:29
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:29
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.22%EV -8.66%E -4.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -8.66%E -4.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 22:29
GTbets4.02I 24.88%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.60%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.98%EV -6.97%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 21:49
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -4.87%E -2.42%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 21:49
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 21:44
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 21:44
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.23%E -0.675%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:29
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:24
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -10.08%E -5.30%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 22:19
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -7.82%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.08%E -4.85%K -7.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 22:24
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 22:20
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:19
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:19
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 21:45
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 21:44
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.12%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:19
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 21:49
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.19%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 21:50
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 22:19
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.81%EV -8.19%E -4.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 22:19
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.14%EV -11.03%E -5.86%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.11%E -3.70%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-22 22:04
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 21:49
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.19%E -4.22%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -6.67%E -2.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-22 21:45
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.58%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.71%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.15%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 21:34
Betclic (FR)3.73I 26.81%NM 24.13%EV -14.04%E -3.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.75%EV -7.26%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 22:04
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -11.03%E -5.86%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.63%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 21:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72%0.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.47%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.72%0.1%2026-07-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-07-22 22:24
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-07-22 22:25
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-07-22 22:24
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-07-22 22:25