Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)
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Botafogo v Grêmio

Początek: 2026-09-16 22:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Botafogo 3–2 Grêmio

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Botafogo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 54.21%1.84kurs godziwy
EV -2.97%
Przewaga -1.66%
Kelly -3.76%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.79

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.34%54.20%54.31%56.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.711.721.7961.73%58.39%58.14%55.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Grêmio (Goście)

Prognoza 21.11%4.74kurs godziwy
EV +5.97%
Przewaga +1.19%
Kelly +1.49%
Wzrost +0.089%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.02

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.11%21.10%21.04%22.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.454.505.0225.00%22.46%22.22%19.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.68%4.05kurs godziwy
EV -1.27%
Przewaga -0.317%
Kelly -0.423%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.64%24.70%24.65%26.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.743.754.0028.57%26.72%26.67%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Botafogo (Gospodarze): 54.21%; Grêmio (Goście): 21.11%; Remis: 24.68%. Dla wyniku Grêmio (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.74. 11 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.02, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.97%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.11%EV +5.97%E +1.19%K +1.49%G +0.089%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -3.24%E -0.827%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +5.55%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.077%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +5.55%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.077%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.39%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-16 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.20%EV -6.70%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 07:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.94%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.45%EV -0.359%E -0.076%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.61%EV -6.94%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 22:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -1.27%E -0.317%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -1.27%E -0.317%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 21:45
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -1.27%E -0.317%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -8.93%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 22:00
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.05%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -3.95%E -0.868%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.26%EV -4.23%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -3.74%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 21:48
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 22:05
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.17%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.45%EV -10.02%E -6.03%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.45%EV -10.02%E -6.03%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.45%EV -10.02%E -6.03%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 22:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 22:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 22:25
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -9.91%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -8.17%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.80%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.74%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 22:24
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.74%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 22:24
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -10.28%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.74%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 22:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -10.28%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 22:20
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 21:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 22:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -8.93%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -13.45%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.83%EV -11.64%E -7.14%K -18.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -14.50%E -3.58%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -11.63%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 22:05
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.83%EV -10.02%E -6.03%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 22:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-16 22:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.91%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.40%0.5%2026-09-16 22:10
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-09-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-16 22:20
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-16 22:05