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StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)
+ Neues ModellAlle Modelle

Botafogo v Grêmio

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-16 22:30 UTC

Endstand: Botafogo 3–2 Grêmio

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Botafogo (Heim)

Prognose 54.21%1.84faire Quote
EV -2.97%
Vorteil -1.66%
Kelly -3.76%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.34%54.20%54.31%56.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.621.711.721.7961.73%58.39%58.14%55.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Grêmio (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.11%4.74faire Quote
EV +5.97%
Vorteil +1.19%
Kelly +1.49%
Wachstum +0.089%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.02

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.11%21.10%21.04%22.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.454.505.0225.00%22.46%22.22%19.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.68%4.05faire Quote
EV -1.27%
Vorteil -0.317%
Kelly -0.423%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.64%24.70%24.65%26.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.743.754.0028.57%26.72%26.67%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Botafogo (Heim): 54.21%; Grêmio (Auswärts): 21.11%; Unentschieden: 24.68%. Für Grêmio (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.74. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.02 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.97%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.42%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.11%EV +5.97%E +1.19%K +1.49%G +0.089%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -3.24%E -0.827%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +5.55%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.077%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +5.55%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.077%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.39%EV -4.05%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.27%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-16 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.20%EV -6.70%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 07:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:25
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +0.275%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.94%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.45%EV -0.359%E -0.076%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.61%EV -6.94%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 22:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -1.27%E -0.317%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -1.27%E -0.317%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 21:45
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.99%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -1.27%E -0.317%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -8.93%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -2.89%E -0.629%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-16 22:00
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.05%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -3.95%E -0.868%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.26%EV -4.23%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -3.74%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 21:48
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.60%E -2.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 22:05
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.17%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.45%EV -10.02%E -6.03%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.45%EV -10.02%E -6.03%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.45%EV -10.02%E -6.03%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 22:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.60%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.38%E -3.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-16 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.13%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 22:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 22:25
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.68%E -3.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -9.91%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.97%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -8.17%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.80%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.74%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 22:24
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.74%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 22:24
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-16 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -10.28%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.74%E -0.958%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 22:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -10.28%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 22:20
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 21:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.22%E -3.60%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 22:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -12.19%E -7.52%K -19.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -8.93%E -5.32%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -13.45%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -4.97%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.83%EV -11.64%E -7.14%K -18.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -14.50%E -3.58%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -11.63%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-16 22:05
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.14%E -3.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 22:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.83%EV -10.02%E -6.03%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -7.44%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 22:05
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.56%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.61%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-16 22:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.91%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.40%0.5%2026-09-16 22:10
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-09-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-16 22:20
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.28%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-16 22:05