Школа коэффициентов

Bahia v Palmeiras

Начало: 2026-04-05 22:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Bahia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 36.74%2.72справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.04%
Преимущество +0.378%
Kelly +0.593%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.02%36.66%36.83%37.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.352.552.552.7542.55%39.17%39.22%36.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Palmeiras (Гости)

Прогноз 33.02%3.03справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.60%
Преимущество -0.881%
Kelly -1.33%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.73%33.13%32.99%34.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.782.752.9538.46%36.03%36.36%33.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.24%3.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.72%
Преимущество -0.528%
Kelly -0.763%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.72%30.21%30.17%31.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.45%32.26%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV +1.04%E +0.378%K +0.593%G +0.006%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 22:19
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV +1.04%E +0.378%K +0.593%G +0.006%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 22:19
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.671%E +0.245%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -3.83%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:19
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:19
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:09
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 22:19
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.93%EV -3.74%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.02%EV -3.26%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -2.62%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 22:20
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.74%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 21:49
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:15
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:18
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 22:20
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.16%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.16%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:18
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 36.30%EV -5.57%E -2.17%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -8.87%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.65%E -1.81%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 21:40
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -5.94%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -6.56%E -2.32%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -8.07%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:25
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -2.60%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 22:05
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -2.60%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 22:04
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:14
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.74%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:05
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.74%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.74%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:14
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:25
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:25
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -5.24%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 22:15
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 21:58
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:15
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 22:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 22:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 22:20
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.94%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:04
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.94%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:04
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:00
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:54
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:54
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 22:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:24
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 21:54
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -8.51%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -2.60%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:14
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.98%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 22:05
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.98%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 22:14
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.98%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.81%EV -10.19%E -3.75%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 22:08
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.82%E -4.93%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.16%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.10%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.74%EV -15.32%E -5.47%K -8.51%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-05 22:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -13.66%E -5.81%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.66%E -5.81%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 22:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 22:25
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-04-05 22:25
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.1%2026-04-05 22:25
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-04-05 22:20