Die Schule der Quoten

Bahia v Palmeiras

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-05 22:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Bahia (Heim)

Prognose 36.74%2.72faire Quote
EV +1.04%
Vorteil +0.378%
Kelly +0.593%
Wachstum +0.006%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.02%36.66%36.83%37.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.352.552.552.7542.55%39.17%39.22%36.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Palmeiras (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.02%3.03faire Quote
EV -2.60%
Vorteil -0.881%
Kelly -1.33%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.73%33.13%32.99%34.62%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.602.782.752.9538.46%36.03%36.36%33.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 30.24%3.31faire Quote
EV -1.72%
Vorteil -0.528%
Kelly -0.763%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.72%30.21%30.17%31.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.45%32.26%30.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV +1.04%E +0.378%K +0.593%G +0.006%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 22:19
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV +1.04%E +0.378%K +0.593%G +0.006%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 22:19
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.671%E +0.245%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -3.83%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:19
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:19
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:09
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 22:19
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.93%EV -3.74%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.02%EV -3.26%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -2.62%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 22:20
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.74%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 21:49
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:15
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:18
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 22:20
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.16%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.16%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:18
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 36.30%EV -5.57%E -2.17%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -8.87%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.65%E -1.81%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 21:40
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -5.94%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -6.56%E -2.32%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -8.07%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:25
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -2.60%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 22:05
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -2.60%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 22:04
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:14
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.74%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:05
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.74%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.74%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:14
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:25
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:25
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -5.24%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 22:15
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 21:58
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:15
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 22:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 22:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 22:20
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.94%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:04
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.94%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:04
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:00
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:54
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:54
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 22:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:24
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 21:54
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -8.51%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -2.60%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:14
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.98%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 22:05
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.98%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 22:14
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.98%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.81%EV -10.19%E -3.75%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 22:08
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.82%E -4.93%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.16%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.10%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.74%EV -15.32%E -5.47%K -8.51%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-05 22:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -13.66%E -5.81%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.66%E -5.81%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 22:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 22:25
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-04-05 22:25
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.1%2026-04-05 22:25
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-04-05 22:20