مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bahia v Palmeiras

البداية: 2026-04-05 22:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bahia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.74%2.72السعر العادل
EV +1.04%
الأفضلية +0.378%
Kelly +0.593%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.02%36.66%36.83%37.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.552.552.7542.55%39.17%39.22%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Palmeiras (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.02%3.03السعر العادل
EV -2.60%
الأفضلية -0.881%
Kelly -1.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.73%33.13%32.99%34.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.782.752.9538.46%36.03%36.36%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.24%3.31السعر العادل
EV -1.72%
الأفضلية -0.528%
Kelly -0.763%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.72%30.21%30.17%31.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.45%32.26%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV +1.04%E +0.378%K +0.593%G +0.006%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 22:19
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV +1.04%E +0.378%K +0.593%G +0.006%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 22:19
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.671%E +0.245%K +0.386%G +0.003%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -3.83%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:19
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:19
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:09
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -2.64%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.26%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 22:19
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.93%EV -3.74%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.02%EV -3.26%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -2.62%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 22:20
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -3.74%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 21:49
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 22:15
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 22:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 22:18
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 22:20
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.16%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -4.47%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -13.16%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:18
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 36.30%EV -5.57%E -2.17%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.80%EV -8.87%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.65%E -1.81%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 21:40
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -5.94%E -2.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -6.56%E -2.32%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -8.07%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:25
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -2.60%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 22:05
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -2.60%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 22:04
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:14
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.74%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:05
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.74%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.74%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:14
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:25
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:25
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -5.24%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 22:15
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 21:58
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 22:15
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 22:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 22:19
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -6.31%E -2.47%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 22:20
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.94%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:04
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.41%E -2.94%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 22:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 22:04
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.528%K -0.763%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:00
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:54
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 15:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:54
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 22:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:24
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 21:54
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -8.51%E -3.42%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -2.60%E -0.881%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -7.76%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 22:14
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.98%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 22:05
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.98%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 22:14
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.98%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.81%EV -10.19%E -3.75%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 22:08
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.82%E -4.93%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 22:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.16%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.10%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.74%EV -15.32%E -5.47%K -8.51%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-05 22:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -13.66%E -5.81%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.66%E -5.81%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 22:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-04-05 22:25
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-04-05 22:25
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.1%2026-04-05 22:25
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-04-05 22:20