赔率学院

Bahia v Botafogo

开赛时间: 2026-05-30 20:30 UTC

最终结果: Bahia 2–1 Botafogo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Bahia (主队)

预测 47.22%2.12公平赔率
EV +1.51%
优势 +0.705%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
44.77%47.16%47.23%48.29%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.881.971.952.1553.19%50.80%51.28%46.51%MIN均值中位数MAX

Botafogo (客队)

预测 27.22%3.67公平赔率
EV +2.08%
优势 +0.555%
Kelly +0.756%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.93%27.18%27.22%29.47%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.453.453.7532.26%28.98%28.99%26.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 25.56%3.91公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -0.684%
Kelly -0.928%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.81

博彩公司预测分布
24.61%25.65%25.55%26.99%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.303.613.603.8130.30%27.69%27.78%26.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09%EV +1.51%E +0.705%K +1.32%G +0.020%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.47%EV -10.44%E -3.17%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.44%EV -2.61%E -0.684%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.46%EV -1.79%E -0.861%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -2.28%E -0.634%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 20:20
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:20
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:19
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 20:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 20:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 20:20
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 20:20
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.555%K +0.756%G +0.016%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.555%K +0.756%G +0.016%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 20:09
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.85%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 19:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:49
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:10
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.86%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.86%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 20:18
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 19:48
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 20:00
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:50
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:49
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:49
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -9.51%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 19:49
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 19:50
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.46%E -3.80%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 20:10
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 19:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -6.70%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 20:10
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 20:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 19:49
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.40%E -4.33%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -8.40%E -4.33%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 19:50
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.27%EV -8.87%E -4.60%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.69%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -4.91%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.87%E -4.60%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -3.36%E -0.948%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 20:10
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 20:10
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.36%E -0.948%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 20:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 20:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 19:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.29%E -5.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -10.29%E -5.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -12.08%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -9.76%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-30 20:09
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.76%E -5.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 20:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.76%E -5.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 20:10
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -15.61%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-30 19:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 47.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63%0.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-30 20:20
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-30 20:20
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-30 20:10