Школа коэффициентов

Bahia v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-05-30 20:30 UTC

Итог: Bahia 2–1 Botafogo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Bahia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 47.22%2.12справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.51%
Преимущество +0.705%
Kelly +1.32%
Рост +0.020%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.77%47.16%47.23%48.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.881.971.952.1553.19%50.80%51.28%46.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 27.22%3.67справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.08%
Преимущество +0.555%
Kelly +0.756%
Рост +0.016%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.93%27.18%27.22%29.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.453.453.7532.26%28.98%28.99%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.56%3.91справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.61%
Преимущество -0.684%
Kelly -0.928%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.81

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.61%25.65%25.55%26.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.613.603.8130.30%27.69%27.78%26.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09%EV +1.51%E +0.705%K +1.32%G +0.020%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.47%EV -10.44%E -3.17%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.44%EV -2.61%E -0.684%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.46%EV -1.79%E -0.861%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -2.28%E -0.634%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 20:20
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:20
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:19
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 20:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 20:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 20:20
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 20:20
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.555%K +0.756%G +0.016%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.555%K +0.756%G +0.016%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 20:09
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.85%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 19:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:49
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:10
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.86%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.86%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 20:18
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 19:48
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 20:00
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:50
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:49
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:49
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -9.51%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 19:49
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 19:50
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.46%E -3.80%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 20:10
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 19:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -6.70%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 20:10
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 20:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 19:49
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.40%E -4.33%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -8.40%E -4.33%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 19:50
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.27%EV -8.87%E -4.60%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.69%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -4.91%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.87%E -4.60%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -3.36%E -0.948%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 20:10
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 20:10
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.36%E -0.948%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 20:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 20:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 19:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.29%E -5.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -10.29%E -5.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -12.08%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -9.76%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-30 20:09
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.76%E -5.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 20:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.76%E -5.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 20:10
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -15.61%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-30 19:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 47.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63%0.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-30 20:20
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-30 20:20
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-30 20:10