مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bahia v Botafogo

البداية: 2026-05-30 20:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Bahia 2–1 Botafogo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bahia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.22%2.12السعر العادل
EV +1.51%
الأفضلية +0.705%
Kelly +1.32%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.77%47.16%47.23%48.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.881.971.952.1553.19%50.80%51.28%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Botafogo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.22%3.67السعر العادل
EV +2.08%
الأفضلية +0.555%
Kelly +0.756%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.93%27.18%27.22%29.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.453.453.7532.26%28.98%28.99%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.56%3.91السعر العادل
EV -2.61%
الأفضلية -0.684%
Kelly -0.928%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.61%25.65%25.55%26.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.613.603.8130.30%27.69%27.78%26.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.09%EV +1.51%E +0.705%K +1.32%G +0.020%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.47%EV -10.44%E -3.17%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.44%EV -2.61%E -0.684%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.46%EV -1.79%E -0.861%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -2.28%E -0.634%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.62%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 20:20
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:20
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.71%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:19
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 20:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 20:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 20:20
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -3.21%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 20:20
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.555%K +0.756%G +0.016%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.555%K +0.756%G +0.016%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 20:09
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.85%EV -5.10%E -2.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 19:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:49
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:10
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.86%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.86%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 20:18
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 19:48
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.57%E -2.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 20:00
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:50
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:49
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 47.83%EV -6.04%E -3.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:49
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -9.51%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 19:49
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 19:50
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.46%E -3.80%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 20:10
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 20:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 19:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.63%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -6.70%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 20:10
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 20:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.93%E -4.07%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 19:49
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.40%E -4.33%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -8.40%E -4.33%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 19:50
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.27%EV -8.87%E -4.60%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.69%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -4.91%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.91%EV -8.87%E -4.60%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -3.36%E -0.948%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 20:10
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 19:50
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.42%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 20:10
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -9.34%E -4.87%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.36%E -0.948%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 20:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.45%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 20:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 19:50
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.82%E -5.14%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.29%E -5.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -10.29%E -5.42%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -12.08%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -9.76%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-30 20:09
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.76%E -5.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 20:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -10.76%E -5.69%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.73%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 20:10
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.85%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.09%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -11.23%E -5.98%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -15.61%E -5.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-30 19:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 47.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63%0.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-30 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-30 20:20
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-30 20:20
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-30 20:10